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@Scary-Billboard

#41,96599

0xf1ee4842fa0c7283632185e42577027452d4519c

122d· 3542 markets · 4829 tradesVol: $1,439,5162026-06-05T13:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 74%20/20
Profit Factor 7.01x15/15
Sharpe 0.80915/15
Sortino 0.8809/10
EV $+4.77010/10
HHI 8110/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Scary-Billboard is an active trader on Polymarket with 4,829 trades executed over 75 days. Ranked #41,965 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $2,348.96 from a total trading volume exceeding $1.4 million. Despite a moderate win rate of 43.1%, their smart score of 99/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting advanced trading skills and consistency.

The trading style of Scary-Billboard appears to be systematic and automated, supported by a bot score of 70/100 and badges such as 🤖 Bot and 🎯 Sniper. They engage in a broad range of 386 markets but maintain a low sell percentage of 2%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exiting. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.81 indicates a reasonable balance between risk and return, though the profit factor below 1 (0.48) implies that losses slightly outweigh gains on average. Scary-Billboard’s equity trend is stable with no significant drawdowns, indicating disciplined risk management.

Key strengths for Scary-Billboard include their elite smart score, diversified market exposure, and stable equity curve. However, the relatively low profit factor and win rate highlight potential risks in trade selection or market timing. Their reliance on automation could also pose challenges if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, Scary-Billboard demonstrates consistent, data-driven trading on Polymarket but may need to improve trade profitability to climb higher in the rankings.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+2,349
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$158,636
Consistent
64/69 days
High Roller
$2,115/day
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

4
SPORTS#16,342$2,417Vol: $1,436,799
CRYPTO#1,324,504$-65Vol: $2,666
🏛️ POLITICS#616,386$-0Vol: $42
🎭 CULTURE#589,612$-3Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,349
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,439,516
Total Redeem
$10,039
Portfolio
$1,506
Predictions
3542
total markets
Trades
4738B / 91S
Daily Volume
$2,115
Account Age
122d
since Feb 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $12,191
Week
$-4,883
Vol: $227,910
Month
$-4,883
Vol: $216,612
All Time
$2,349
Vol: $1,439,516

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
248W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$91,229
Win Rate
43%
110W / 145L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$245
Avg Loss
$-385

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$1,358
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: S$1,218
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$1,000
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$956
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Ch$845
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Grou$814
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$736
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$689
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$664
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gr$657

Top Losers

Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?$-2,087
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$-2,035
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid$-1,892
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Se$-1,713
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifi$-1,691
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-1,591
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$-1,507
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$-1,369
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group$-1,337
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: S$-1,264

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.809
Sortino
0.880
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.770
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
167.7
Very active
Markets / Day
13.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.6m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 1.13 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness168 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage364 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
49 entries
<=2
87 entries
<=5
166 entries
<=10
246 entries
<=20
317 entries
<=50
376 entries
>50
10 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)48.7%
High (>55c)43.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76%

Chicago$541
Atlanta$378
Shanghai$209
Paris$116
Toronto$55
Dallas$-272
Los Angeles$-890
Madrid$-1,453
Seattle$-1,590
Other$-26,046

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
277

Single bracket

<=1
199 brackets
<=2
248 brackets
<=3
275 brackets
<=4
277 brackets
<=5
277 brackets
<=8
277 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 6:50:49 PM1 trades$330 min
5/7/2026, 7:06:22 PM1 trades$270 min
5/7/2026, 7:44:36 PM6 trades$666 min
5/8/2026, 4:55:39 PM13 trades$2178 min
5/8/2026, 5:08:50 PM1 trades$230 min
5/8/2026, 5:34:51 PM1 trades$340 min
5/8/2026, 6:36:53 PM1 trades$5900 min
5/9/2026, 4:32:37 PM2 trades$701 min
5/9/2026, 5:05:00 PM1 trades$310 min
5/9/2026, 5:13:59 PM4 trades$1441 min
5/9/2026, 5:23:54 PM20 trades$39811 min
5/10/2026, 5:03:35 PM25 trades$75211 min
5/10/2026, 5:21:17 PM2 trades$1081 min
5/10/2026, 5:32:14 PM10 trades$4275 min
5/10/2026, 5:56:12 PM5 trades$3163 min
5/10/2026, 6:10:56 PM1 trades$20 min
5/10/2026, 6:16:23 PM8 trades$2731 min
5/10/2026, 6:22:46 PM13 trades$4675 min
5/10/2026, 6:46:47 PM2 trades$490 min
5/10/2026, 6:59:35 PM4 trades$772 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-13
04-24
05-06
05-17
05-28
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event