@Sebastian3461

#2,216,62830

0x693beac6b6de9ebcf33d30b3efabf169912fb490

~99d· 89 markets · 189 tradesVol: $26,6232026-10-05 21:27:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (39/71)12.5/20
0.18x (win $6 / loss $33)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9640/15
Sortino -5.8990/10
$-0.0163 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 668 (71 markets)9.2/10
34/54 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 276400% of peak ($28 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Consistent
34/54 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,257,049$-9Vol: $7,861
⚽ SPORTS#1,385,554$-11Vol: $6,531
🎭 CULTURE#657,617$-6Vol: $5,896
📈 ECONOMICS#566,053$-4Vol: $4,793
💻 TECH#205,754$-1Vol: $1,300
₿ CRYPTO#302,792$4Vol: $154
🌤️ WEATHER#149,627$0Vol: $51
💰 FINANCE#257,854$0Vol: $38

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,623
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
89
total markets
Trades
120B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $5
Week
$-0
Vol: $37
Month
$-0
Vol: $84
All Time
$-28
Vol: $26,623

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
39W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-28
Win Rate
56%
39W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.14249547920434% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$1
Will NDP win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?$0
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0
Will Kenneth Gainwell score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?$0
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$0
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?$0
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0

Top Losers

Will Girona FC win La Liga?$-5
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-5
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?$-4
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-3
Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-3
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-3
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-3
Will John Smith win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-3
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?$-2
Will The Outer Worlds 2 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.309
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
557
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 208s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)86.7%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2025, 9:59:11 AM1 trades$1430 min
6/22/2025, 1:03:16 PM1 trades$1420 min
6/29/2025, 4:24:09 AM1 trades$1420 min
4/28/2025, 10:04:45 AM1 trades$1420 min
6/13/2025, 6:13:55 PM1 trades$1390 min
5/11/2025, 4:23:02 PM1 trades$1390 min
5/9/2025, 6:49:38 AM1 trades$1390 min
6/2/2025, 3:46:07 AM1 trades$1380 min
5/14/2025, 1:53:14 PM1 trades$1380 min
5/29/2026, 4:48:08 PM10 trades$293 min
2/12/2026, 2:59:51 AM4 trades$273 min
2/26/2025, 1:46:07 PM1 trades$250 min
3/11/2025, 8:25:14 AM1 trades$250 min
8/13/2025, 6:38:38 PM1 trades$230 min
9/8/2025, 4:27:06 PM1 trades$230 min
7/22/2026, 9:41:18 PM6 trades$232 min
5/14/2026, 8:42:33 PM6 trades$232 min
7/26/2025, 8:51:49 AM1 trades$230 min
4/2/2026, 5:03:07 PM4 trades$191 min
4/20/2026, 2:12:46 PM4 trades$191 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
01-31
04-28
09-08
11-15
04-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 478 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M0.8 / H86.7