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@SeniorLaghetto

#62993

0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145

723d· 637 markets · 48690 tradesVol: $40,981,799 @Bambardini2026-07-01T11:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 71.94x15/15
Sharpe 0.4298/15
Sortino 551.89810/10
EV $+30.41410/10
HHI 18310/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

SeniorLaghetto is a highly active Polymarket trader with a rank of #629 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 884 days, they executed 48,690 trades across 243 markets, generating a net profit of $296,785.45 from a total volume of nearly $41 million. Their smart score of 93/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance. Despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.43, SeniorLaghetto maintains an upward equity trend and a portfolio valued at $33,651.74.

SeniorLaghetto’s trading style appears to favor high-frequency activity with a contrarian edge, as indicated by their badges and a relatively low win rate of 34.2%. The trader demonstrates a preference for manual or semi-automated strategies, given their bot score of 40/100. Their risk profile seems balanced, with a 38% sell rate and zero days of max drawdown duration, suggesting effective risk management. Markets are broadly diversified, though they avoid weather markets entirely, focusing instead on other event categories.

Key strengths for SeniorLaghetto include strong volume handling, elite ranking, and a steady, upward equity trend, supported by a sniper-like precision in trade timing. However, the low profit factor of 0.04 and modest Sharpe ratio indicate potential inefficiencies in risk-adjusted returns. Traders monitoring SeniorLaghetto on Polymarket should consider the balance between their high activity and the relatively low win rate when evaluating their performance.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+296,785
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$7,174,491
Consistent
70/72 days
High Roller
$8,116/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#147$181,281Vol: $19,423,318
🏛️ POLITICS#446$113,186Vol: $17,701,106
SPORTS#1,773,836$-7,397Vol: $1,544,800
🌤️ WEATHER#280,609$-239Vol: $915,927
🎭 CULTURE#1,996$3,531Vol: $513,479
📈 ECONOMICS#2,627$1,074Vol: $392,546
💻 TECH#718$2,217Vol: $180,514
💰 FINANCE#635,572$-549Vol: $147,703
📢 MENTIONS#2,060$530Vol: $42,658

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$296,785
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,981,799
Total Redeem
$26,690
Portfolio
$33,652
Predictions
637
total markets
Trades
30434B / 18256S
Daily Volume
$8,116
Account Age
723d
since Jul 19, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$300
Vol: $260
Week
$10
Vol: $7,099
Month
$300
Vol: $260
All Time
$296,785
Vol: $40,981,799

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
128W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,078,106
Win Rate
34%
79W / 152L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1,275
Avg Loss
$-18,171

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$30,752
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$8,719
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$8,386
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$5,751
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$4,599
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$4,077
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$3,753
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3,573
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$2,698
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2,448

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-278,736
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-160,737
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-133,315
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-118,909
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-116,626
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-106,382
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-92,811
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-91,142
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-84,840
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-67,692

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.428
Sortino
551.898
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$30.413
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.0m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — typical for humanSize CV 2.66 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness69 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
125.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
11 entries
<=2
19 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
56 entries
<=20
92 entries
<=50
136 entries
>50
107 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)40%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65.6%

Paris$1,189
Milan$-61
Houston$-17,100
Other$-2,645,353

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
132

Single bracket

<=1
95 brackets
<=2
111 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
124 brackets
<=8
130 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/21/2024, 6:29:31 PM3 trades$1254 min
7/21/2024, 6:42:01 PM24 trades$1,16122 min
7/21/2024, 7:12:14 PM1 trades$570 min
7/21/2024, 7:21:52 PM16 trades$80133 min
7/21/2024, 8:12:10 PM2 trades$1305 min
7/21/2024, 8:24:02 PM7 trades$56014 min
7/21/2024, 8:45:46 PM6 trades$6237 min
7/21/2024, 9:02:32 PM2 trades$451 min
7/21/2024, 9:30:28 PM4 trades$5863 min
7/21/2024, 9:56:14 PM2 trades$360 min
7/21/2024, 10:09:36 PM2 trades$1044 min
7/21/2024, 10:24:20 PM2 trades$212 min
7/21/2024, 10:46:28 PM3 trades$1745 min
7/22/2024, 4:14:59 AM2 trades$580 min
7/22/2024, 4:35:17 AM2 trades$1671 min
7/22/2024, 4:47:37 AM1 trades$890 min
7/22/2024, 5:03:45 AM1 trades$850 min
7/22/2024, 7:37:58 AM2 trades$04 min
7/22/2024, 7:50:02 AM1 trades$1440 min
7/22/2024, 8:03:29 AM1 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-13
04-30
02-28
05-07
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 125.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event