@Sergiialvares

#3,016,66217

0x5c55279554d9c0b1025516b42c50ab83d8b0ddfb

~59d· 1241 markets · 7693 tradesVol: $189,1692026-08-26 09:17:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (512/1241)5.6/20
0.61x (win $5,561 / loss $9,118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.4920/15
Sortino -7.1720/10
$-0.2697 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 381 (1241 markets)10/10
19/55 profitable days (35%)1.1/10
Max DD 11184% of peak ($3,589 / $32)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
85% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,693
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,169
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1241
total markets
Trades
3146B / 4547S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
512W / 729L events
Realized PnL
$-1,666
Win Rate
41%
512W / 729L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $522 (0.31332301007118246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?$277
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$133
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$112
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?$110
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$103
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$89
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$70

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?$-571
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?$-549
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$-324
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$-262
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?$-221
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 28?$-156
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?$-143
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$-142
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-138
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.389
Sortino
-0.360
HHI
142
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.250
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.5
Very active
Markets / Day
12.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.1m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.7%
Mid (20-55c)64.2%
High (>55c)15.1%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 2:23:29 PM53 trades$9,4148 min
6/17/2026, 9:31:43 PM41 trades$3,9517 min
6/7/2026, 10:41:55 AM54 trades$2,86818 min
6/18/2026, 7:46:22 PM21 trades$1,8081 min
6/7/2026, 11:20:28 AM31 trades$1,35611 min
6/14/2026, 2:31:30 PM46 trades$1,1815 min
6/19/2026, 4:42:37 AM26 trades$1,1730 min
6/6/2026, 2:35:31 PM6 trades$1,0132 min
5/13/2026, 12:40:35 PM5 trades$1,0020 min
6/14/2026, 11:48:39 AM33 trades$9801 min
6/20/2026, 2:50:01 AM23 trades$8741 min
6/14/2026, 2:56:57 PM12 trades$8695 min
6/16/2026, 3:43:23 PM59 trades$7767 min
6/18/2026, 9:38:37 AM30 trades$7172 min
5/13/2026, 5:56:57 PM11 trades$5806 min
6/18/2026, 4:34:59 PM13 trades$5501 min
6/16/2026, 7:40:19 PM37 trades$5307 min
5/3/2026, 2:00:28 AM7 trades$5200 min
5/14/2026, 1:14:35 PM74 trades$49719 min
8/3/2026, 9:23:44 AM26 trades$4791 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
05-10
05-23
06-09
06-19
07-10
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
48% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.36/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.7 / M64.2 / H15.1