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@Sick-Cycle

#7,88597

0x75110b2afa07a881292528a355715a0febe1582e

82d· 19140 markets · 6507 tradesVol: $3,320,5562026-06-05T11:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 69%20/20
Profit Factor 17.50x15/15
Sharpe 0.65612/15
Sortino 18.79010/10
EV $+14.57510/10
HHI 3510/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Sick-Cycle is an active trader on Polymarket with a strong performance record, currently ranked #7885 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 478 days, they have executed 6,507 trades across 1,956 markets, generating a net PnL of $17,005.62 on a total volume exceeding $3.3 million. Their Smart Score of 97/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent profitability and trading skill.

The trading style of Sick-Cycle appears disciplined and systematic, with a preference for a diverse range of markets but minimal engagement in niche areas like weather (1%). Their high win rate of 87% and profit factor of 4.36 suggest a low-to-moderate risk profile, likely employing automated strategies to capitalize on short-term opportunities. The 36% sell percentage and stable equity trend indicate a balanced approach to position management without excessive exposure or drawdown, supported by a Sharpe Ratio of 0.66.

Sick-Cycle's strengths include a robust bot trading score (70/100) and a flawless max drawdown duration of zero days, highlighting effective risk controls and quick recovery from adverse moves. However, the relatively flat portfolio value and a moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited volatility capture and potential challenges in scaling profits further. Overall, Sick-Cycle demonstrates consistent execution and risk management but may face constraints in achieving higher returns under volatile market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+17,006
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
52 wins in a row
Whale
$137,547
Consistent
76/90 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
SPORTS#13,174$3,013Vol: $2,164,073
CRYPTO#4,388$10,568Vol: $912,253
🏛️ POLITICS#7,587$3,698Vol: $214,908
📈 ECONOMICS#17,673$42Vol: $11,769
🌤️ WEATHER#3,716$246Vol: $8,483
💰 FINANCE#615,491$-702Vol: $5,602
🎭 CULTURE#41,651$26Vol: $1,830
📢 MENTIONS#5,398$114Vol: $1,592

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,006
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,320,556
Total Redeem
$45,076
Portfolio
$7,282
Predictions
19140
total markets
Trades
4145B / 2362S
Daily Volume
$288
Account Age
82d
since Apr 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$574
Vol: $3,889
Week
$2,587
Vol: $63,062
Month
$2,587
Vol: $41,765
All Time
$17,006
Vol: $3,320,556

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
73%
736W / 279L events
Realized PnL
$113,407
Win Rate
87%
611W / 82L
Profit Factor
4.36x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,229 (23.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$1,382
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$1,056
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Clo$791
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5$644
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$642
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$511
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$415
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?$387
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$359
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$339

Top Losers

T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Northamptonshire$-439
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$-412
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$-341
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$-236
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?$-196
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-183
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$-179
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-168
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-131
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.656
Sortino
18.790
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$14.575
Kelly %
77.3%
Half-Kelly
38.7%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
106.1
Very active
Markets / Day
31.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 113s — typical for humanSize CV 2.14 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness106 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage1215 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
1191 entries
<=2
1553 entries
<=5
1830 entries
<=10
1928 entries
<=20
1953 entries
<=50
1955 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)52.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.1%

Other$11,186
Los Angeles$942
Jinmen Hu FC win$387
San Francisco$222
Seattle$180
Atlanta$178
Miami$175
Chicago$104
Toronto$66
Chongqing$46
Paris$34
Shanghai$18
Beijing$15
Houston$12
Wellington$0
London$0
Seoul$0
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
1437

Single bracket

<=1
1198 brackets
<=2
1340 brackets
<=3
1374 brackets
<=4
1392 brackets
<=5
1409 brackets
<=8
1431 brackets
>8
6 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 3:28:39 AM1 trades$10 min
4/5/2026, 4:31:45 AM2 trades$145 min
4/5/2026, 5:07:01 AM3 trades$253 min
4/5/2026, 5:16:01 AM6 trades$10410 min
4/5/2026, 5:32:35 AM1 trades$10 min
4/5/2026, 5:44:35 AM5 trades$418 min
4/5/2026, 6:07:13 AM6 trades$2711 min
4/5/2026, 6:32:11 AM2 trades$181 min
4/5/2026, 6:38:41 AM13 trades$12612 min
4/5/2026, 7:20:11 AM1 trades$100 min
4/5/2026, 7:29:17 AM2 trades$1043 min
4/5/2026, 7:53:35 AM1 trades$10 min
4/5/2026, 8:07:39 AM1 trades$00 min
4/5/2026, 8:13:09 AM29 trades$1,80234 min
4/5/2026, 8:52:07 AM1 trades$10 min
4/5/2026, 9:02:35 AM2 trades$70 min
4/5/2026, 9:55:29 AM1 trades$670 min
4/5/2026, 10:02:23 AM9 trades$42215 min
4/5/2026, 10:31:19 AM3 trades$273 min
4/5/2026, 11:01:05 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-16
05-01
05-16
05-31
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event