Polydata

@Sick-Ford

#36,73271

0x0f16e527dbde3055ee72f33995a489ae464dd032

~80d· 1232 markets · 1795 tradesVol: $30,2692026-06-24T23:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 33%2/20
Profit Factor 4.40x15/15
Sharpe 0.2254/15
Sortino 1.73710/10
EV $+3.76210/10
HHI 7910/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 14%10/10

Summary

Sick-Ford is an active trader on Polymarket, with 1,795 trades executed across 1,187 different markets over 80 days. Ranked #36,732 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $2,897 from a total trading volume exceeding $30,000. Their Smart Score of 71/100 indicates very good trading skill, supported by a strong win rate of 93.5% and an exceptional profit factor of 85.56, reflecting consistent profitability.

The trading style of Sick-Ford appears disciplined and low-risk, with no recorded maximum drawdown duration and a flat equity trend suggesting stable performance without significant volatility. Their semi-automated approach, indicated by a bot score of 65/100, blends algorithmic and manual decision-making. They avoid weather markets and do not engage in selling, highlighting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The trader’s badges, including Contrarian and Diamond Hands, imply a strategy that may exploit market inefficiencies and maintain positions through volatility.

Sick-Ford’s key strengths include a high consistency in winning trades and a solid profit factor that outperforms many peers on Polymarket. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.23 suggests returns relative to risk could be improved. The absence of drawdowns is positive but might also indicate limited exposure to larger, potentially more profitable trades. Overall, Sick-Ford demonstrates a reliable, steady trading approach with some room to optimize risk-adjusted returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,897
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
175 wins in a row
Consistent
33/46 days
Cool Head
DD 14%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#14,920$2,897Vol: $30,269

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,269
Total Redeem
$15,913
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1232
total markets
Trades
1793B / 2S
Daily Volume
$155
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Month
$56
Vol: $4,335
All Time
$2,897
Vol: $30,269

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
33%
250W / 498L events
Realized PnL
$6,219
Win Rate
94%
622W / 43L
Profit Factor
85.56x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,231 (49.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2,896
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$177
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$158
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$69
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$53

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.225
Sortino
1.737
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.762
Kelly %
92.5%
Half-Kelly
46.2%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.5
Active
Markets / Day
15.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 346s — typical for humanSize CV 2.74 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high16 markets/day — mass coverage748 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
884 entries
<=2
1101 entries
<=5
1160 entries
<=10
1174 entries
<=20
1187 entries
<=50
1187 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)56.7%
High (>55c)38.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.3%

Other$6,550

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1187

Single bracket

<=1
1187 brackets
<=2
1187 brackets
<=3
1187 brackets
<=4
1187 brackets
<=5
1187 brackets
<=8
1187 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 8:50:02 PM2 trades$2830 min
3/28/2026, 9:45:04 PM2 trades$2860 min
3/28/2026, 10:30:04 PM1 trades$1420 min
3/29/2026, 1:10:02 AM2 trades$2430 min
3/29/2026, 4:50:02 AM1 trades$1430 min
3/29/2026, 6:10:02 AM2 trades$2610 min
3/29/2026, 6:50:02 AM1 trades$560 min
3/29/2026, 8:05:02 AM1 trades$50 min
3/29/2026, 8:15:02 AM1 trades$50 min
3/29/2026, 8:45:02 AM2 trades$90 min
3/29/2026, 8:50:06 AM2 trades$90 min
3/29/2026, 9:00:02 AM4 trades$195 min
3/29/2026, 9:15:02 PM1 trades$90 min
3/29/2026, 9:35:04 PM2 trades$190 min
3/29/2026, 10:10:02 PM1 trades$90 min
3/30/2026, 12:10:02 AM2 trades$190 min
3/30/2026, 2:30:02 AM1 trades$90 min
4/1/2026, 1:55:03 AM2 trades$650 min
4/1/2026, 2:15:05 AM2 trades$650 min
4/1/2026, 2:45:01 AM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-03
04-11
04-21
04-30
06-03
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event