Polydata

@SlenderMan

#3,068,55440

0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876

~441d· 416 markets · 56168 tradesVol: $67,412,1822026-07-31 15:28:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (281/392)20/20
0.57x (win $1,140,716 / loss $1,989,845)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6890/15
Sortino -1.8850/10
$-0.0340 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 215 (392 markets)10/10
145/203 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 383% of peak ($1,148,874 / $299,745)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
DCA Master
Avg 130.3 entries/market
Whale
$25,003,364 invested
Consistent
145/203 profitable days
High Roller
$40,722/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,400$-401,192Vol: $42,769,368
📈 ECONOMICS#119$60,445Vol: $17,093,046
🎭 CULTURE#64$94,604Vol: $4,801,065
CRYPTO#1,671,050$-31,101Vol: $1,088,293
SPORTS#1,875,260$-10,285Vol: $841,481
💻 TECH#231$8,720Vol: $747,892
💰 FINANCE#655,217$-2,699Vol: $42,331
📢 MENTIONS#24,086$6Vol: $1,184

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-281,737
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,412,182
Total Redeem
$137,812
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
416
total markets
Trades
35517B / 20651S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~441d

Periods

#2
Today
$369
Vol: $8,363
Week
$-3,502
Vol: $472,944
Month
$19,727
Vol: $3,760,041
All Time
$-281,737
Vol: $67,412,182

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
72%
281W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$-281,684
Win Rate
72%
281W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$4,059
Avg Loss
$-18,772

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $406,526 (1.4431959866007495% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$265,765
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$86,902
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$53,858
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$28,189
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$27,769
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25,355
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$24,805
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$23,840
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$19,573
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$18,807

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-343,881
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-246,245
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-242,838
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-165,971
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-119,522
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-103,730
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-94,873
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-81,149
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-71,212
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-43,752

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.088
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
17.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
91.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.1m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
79.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 3.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock91 trades/day — mass trading0.7 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
130.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 11:47:38 PM60 trades$378,91140 min
2/4/2026, 6:41:43 PM379 trades$287,252194 min
1/3/2026, 4:28:07 PM3 trades$270,1670 min
1/3/2026, 11:03:15 AM17 trades$269,35311 min
2/27/2026, 3:33:25 PM588 trades$243,727180 min
12/10/2025, 1:44:25 PM136 trades$238,20041 min
12/10/2025, 4:14:18 PM125 trades$215,03513 min
12/10/2025, 6:50:46 PM89 trades$213,1599 min
4/7/2026, 11:07:37 PM85 trades$197,87824 min
1/30/2026, 6:44:32 PM44 trades$184,50410 min
11/14/2025, 4:36:28 PM53 trades$174,31134 min
2/4/2026, 4:49:23 PM88 trades$160,32250 min
2/11/2026, 8:02:55 AM95 trades$155,38778 min
2/1/2026, 7:55:46 AM73 trades$151,32957 min
2/27/2026, 2:42:25 PM323 trades$148,79843 min
12/10/2025, 11:18:41 AM8 trades$148,6670 min
1/3/2026, 8:09:17 AM45 trades$148,39020 min
1/1/2026, 3:37:07 PM28 trades$142,64910 min
1/31/2026, 7:17:52 AM172 trades$139,72685 min
3/26/2026, 7:30:19 PM95 trades$137,65460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
07-09
10-16
12-03
02-01
04-01
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 232 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 130.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M12.8 / H76.9