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@Slim-Might-Season

#124,62340

0x22303bfa1046bf5ebf8d53f0fe77ee825299084e

80d· 1930 markets · 2303 tradesVol: $179,0582026-06-30T21:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.67x0/15
HHI 10710/10
Profit Days 75%10/10

Summary

Slim-Might-Season is an active Polymarket trader ranked #124,623 globally by net PnL, with a net profit of $386.57 over 49 days. They have executed 2,303 trades across 785 markets, accumulating $179,058 in trading volume. Despite a strong win rate of 94.6%, their profit factor stands at 0.67, reflecting less-than-ideal risk-reward outcomes. Their portfolio value is currently $67.24, and their smart score is below average at 40/100.

The trader focuses exclusively on weather markets, trading nearly half of their positions through selling. Slim-Might-Season uses a semi-automated approach, indicated by a bot score of 55/100. Their trading style shows a preference for high-frequency, low-margin trades with a short max drawdown duration of zero days, suggesting quick exits. However, the Sharpe ratio of -0.15 points to negative risk-adjusted returns, implying risk management challenges despite consistent wins.

Slim-Might-Season’s key strength lies in their high win rate and consistent upward equity trend within a niche market segment on Polymarket. Their sniper badge and win streak highlight strong execution skills. Conversely, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio may signal vulnerability to larger losses or inefficiencies in position sizing, posing risks to long-term profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+387
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
425 wins in a row
Whale
$66,053
Consistent
33/44 days
High Roller
$1,348/day

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#2,891$387Vol: $178,782
🎭 CULTURE#417,184$-0Vol: $256
⚽ SPORTS#592,569$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$387
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$179,058
Total Redeem
$18,272
Portfolio
$67
Predictions
1930
total markets
Trades
1172B / 1131S
Daily Volume
$1,348
Account Age
80d
since Apr 15, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $3,632
All Time
$387
Vol: $179,058

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
174W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$1,480
Win Rate
95%
733W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-28

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16$37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 28?$36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 6$29
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 7?$21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on $20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28$19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?$18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 72°F or higher on June $16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 1$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 1$14

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 5?$-95
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 5?$-85
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April $-81
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 1$-76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on Apr$-64
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 29?$-59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on May 2?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 5?$-55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 28?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 2?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.113
HHI
107
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
51.4%
Half-Kelly
25.7%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
15.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.6
Active
Markets / Day
16.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.7m
between trades
Night Trading
53%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 112s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human53% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high16 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
619 entries
<=2
701 entries
<=5
769 entries
<=10
781 entries
<=20
785 entries
<=50
785 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)97.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 14.2%

Denver$81
Toronto$72
Guangzhou$54
Kuala Lumpur$27
Austin$25
Tokyo$24
Taipei$23
San Francisco$22
Qingdao$17
Moscow$14
Chongqing$13
Hong Kong$12
New York City$12
Paris$12
Cape Town$10
Atlanta$10
Munich$7
Wuhan$6

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
409

Single bracket

<=1
254 brackets
<=2
332 brackets
<=3
367 brackets
<=4
383 brackets
<=5
393 brackets
<=8
409 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 11:17:30 PM3 trades$892 min
4/17/2026, 1:47:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 9:23:32 AM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 11:15:44 AM1 trades$00 min
4/19/2026, 4:17:36 AM4 trades$1196 min
4/19/2026, 4:36:06 AM1 trades$470 min
4/19/2026, 9:55:02 AM2 trades$532 min
4/19/2026, 11:19:40 AM1 trades$50 min
4/19/2026, 1:12:20 PM3 trades$480 min
4/19/2026, 3:52:06 PM2 trades$200 min
4/19/2026, 4:40:18 PM1 trades$350 min
4/19/2026, 6:06:44 PM1 trades$70 min
4/20/2026, 4:45:30 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/20/2026, 4:56:06 AM2 trades$1030 min
4/20/2026, 5:01:28 AM3 trades$1710 min
4/20/2026, 5:11:54 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/20/2026, 5:23:36 AM1 trades$490 min
4/20/2026, 12:55:02 PM1 trades$630 min
4/20/2026, 2:42:34 PM3 trades$151 min
4/20/2026, 4:43:36 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-29
05-06
05-13
05-20
05-27
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
99.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event