@SmartBoyBilly
#3,043,366170x1491f3faea8f55eb683eea438d4d6367eb84fd70
~18d· 332 markets · 670 tradesVol: $98,7482026-08-04 17:18:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (66/153)6.6/20
0.52x (win $1,420 / loss $2,708)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6640/15
Sortino -4.0640/10
$-0.0737 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 283 (153 markets)10/10
10/30 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 2655% of peak ($1,240 / $47)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders
Categories
9💰 FINANCE#656,560$-2,355Vol: $35,122
📢 MENTIONS#174,063$-639Vol: $16,553
⚽ SPORTS#1,754,818$-246Vol: $14,565
🏛️ POLITICS#1,596,185$-493Vol: $9,869
🎭 CULTURE#806,778$-565Vol: $8,474
💻 TECH#253,636$-233Vol: $3,728
₿ CRYPTO#1,376,257$-46Vol: $2,653
📈 ECONOMICS#667,156$-176Vol: $2,198
🌤️ WEATHER#8,979$66Vol: $1,229
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$98,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
332
total markets
Trades
670B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
Periods
#2Today
$-236
Vol: $1,303
Week
$-251
Vol: $4,764
Month
$-1,165
Vol: $7,455
All Time
$-5,066
Vol: $98,748
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
66W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-5,092
Win Rate
44%
66W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $716 (0.14068406716952825% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$461
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$145
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?$111
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$64
Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$52
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$48
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?$45
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?$42
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$38
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of July 20 2026?$23
Top Losers
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?$-237
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-181
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$-178
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?$-175
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?$-145
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?$-125
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by July 31?$-115
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$-105
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.25B?$-100
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?$-90
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.193
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
16.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
35.3
Active
Markets / Day
17.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 642s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency17 markets/day — mass coverage100% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)44.5%
High (>55c)41%
Sessions
#127/18/2026, 10:56:48 AM8 trades$1,9254 min
7/18/2026, 2:37:03 AM3 trades$6169 min
7/18/2026, 4:47:58 AM3 trades$5445 min
7/21/2026, 8:37:07 PM2 trades$4340 min
7/26/2026, 12:19:42 AM5 trades$4201 min
7/17/2026, 6:12:15 PM1 trades$4100 min
7/18/2026, 7:37:58 PM2 trades$3523 min
7/19/2026, 7:33:04 AM2 trades$3024 min
7/18/2026, 11:59:13 PM7 trades$2932 min
7/20/2026, 7:56:22 PM9 trades$2656 min
7/18/2026, 6:05:10 PM5 trades$2467 min
7/18/2026, 2:15:58 AM1 trades$2400 min
7/22/2026, 9:33:18 AM5 trades$2273 min
7/20/2026, 10:26:33 AM4 trades$2266 min
7/19/2026, 2:05:45 AM1 trades$2190 min
7/17/2026, 11:04:24 PM4 trades$1976 min
7/18/2026, 7:08:52 PM1 trades$1930 min
7/19/2026, 3:02:27 PM1 trades$1920 min
7/20/2026, 7:50:12 AM1 trades$1920 min
7/21/2026, 8:20:06 AM1 trades$1920 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-30 23:55:00
2026-07-19 23:59:00
2026-07-28 16:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-08-02 23:59:00
2026-08-07 16:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M44.5 / H41