@SmolDog
#14,760120xf2f2703d83938e05cba23c819891845d26f01762
~27d· 91 markets · 3584 tradesVol: $1,990,2502026-08-26 09:12:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (21/91)0/20
0.88x (win $110,876 / loss $125,939)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6180/15
Sortino -0.8260/10
$-0.0657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 797 (91 markets)8.5/10
10/24 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 884% of peak ($94,107 / $10,646)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+10,214
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Whale
$229,227 invested
High Roller
$7,394/day
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#1,632$4,829Vol: $1,400,488
🏛️ POLITICS#4,631$7,917Vol: $408,952
⚽ SPORTS#1,866,488$-1,916Vol: $57,519
₿ CRYPTO#42,364$534Vol: $54,228
📈 ECONOMICS#686,433$-1,612Vol: $42,604
💰 FINANCE#6,733$519Vol: $25,285
💻 TECH#251,362$-57Vol: $1,175
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,990,250
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
982B / 2602S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
21W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$10,214
Win Rate
23%
21W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$5,280
Avg Loss
$-1,825
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75,754 (7.416518670956094% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$51,548
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$12,256
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11,950
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$8,418
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,544
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$4,717
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$4,074
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$3,216
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$2,683
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1,457
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-68,635
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-13,859
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-5,606
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-4,703
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$-3,557
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-2,375
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-2,236
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$-1,798
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$-1,688
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-1,688
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
3756
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.3%
Top-5 markets
119.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
115.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.1m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 5.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock116 trades/day — automation2.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
44.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)68.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)12.4%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 1:05:36 PM2 trades$25,0000 min
6/2/2026, 2:13:23 PM6 trades$24,8501 min
6/9/2026, 12:57:09 PM181 trades$20,4138 min
6/14/2026, 9:58:10 PM8 trades$18,8630 min
5/26/2026, 7:21:57 AM36 trades$14,5590 min
6/15/2026, 5:21:30 AM14 trades$14,1670 min
5/23/2026, 7:00:51 PM7 trades$13,7653 min
6/5/2026, 12:57:28 PM17 trades$11,7146 min
6/12/2026, 12:04:31 PM71 trades$11,10810 min
6/1/2026, 3:49:19 AM28 trades$10,02911 min
5/19/2026, 7:09:21 AM15 trades$9,9442 min
6/5/2026, 11:00:33 AM20 trades$9,8121 min
6/4/2026, 8:14:19 AM98 trades$9,5658 min
6/12/2026, 10:52:43 AM17 trades$9,1300 min
6/14/2026, 10:04:24 PM66 trades$9,0592 min
5/18/2026, 5:55:53 AM19 trades$8,5215 min
5/24/2026, 10:21:37 AM8 trades$8,1632 min
5/24/2026, 6:49:49 PM25 trades$7,6860 min
5/29/2026, 6:02:59 PM27 trades$6,7568 min
5/17/2026, 7:28:06 AM87 trades$6,6805 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-21
05-28
06-01
06-06
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.95/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.4 / M19.1 / H12.4