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@Snoorrason

#1,01988

0x805a922574d7d6b158b7bbb49a6fa8925eb60635

625d· 4456 markets · 3814 tradesVol: $13,641,429 @SnoorrasonPoly2026-06-29T12:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 986.70x15/15
Sharpe 0.1553/15
Sortino 318.23810/10
EV $+67.05510/10
HHI 33110/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Snoorrason is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1019 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 786 days, they have executed 3,814 trades across 353 markets, generating a net PnL of $184,579.08 from a total traded volume exceeding $13.6 million. With a Smart Score of 88/100, Snoorrason is classified as an elite trader, maintaining a portfolio value of $105,166.20 and showing a consistent equity trend.

Their trading strategy on Polymarket appears balanced and disciplined, with a win rate of 63.9% and a profit factor of 2.61, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns. Snoorrason prefers a diverse range of markets, with minimal exposure to weather markets (1%) and a moderate sell percentage of 23%, suggesting a mix of holding and profit-taking. The Sharpe ratio of 0.16 reflects modest volatility relative to returns, and the absence of drawdown duration points to effective risk management. Timing patterns indicate steady activity without reliance on automated bots, supported by a low bot score.

Snoorrason’s key strengths lie in their consistent profitability and disciplined approach, as evidenced by top badges like Sniper and DCA Master. Their ability to maintain stable equity amid a high trade volume is notable. Potential risks include the relatively low Sharpe ratio, which may imply limited upside during volatile market conditions, and the flat equity trend that suggests limited recent growth. Overall, Snoorrason demonstrates a strong, steady presence on Polymarket with a focus on sustainable returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+184,579
Lottery Player
48% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
71% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 8.5 entries/market
Win Streak
57 wins in a row
Whale
$645,607
Consistent
102/107 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
SPORTS#2,556$18,855Vol: $4,591,613
🏛️ POLITICS#1,310$36,343Vol: $3,721,880
🎭 CULTURE#84$71,196Vol: $3,480,420
💻 TECH#78$18,550Vol: $705,644
💰 FINANCE#126$28,893Vol: $477,350
CRYPTO#13,383$3,308Vol: $380,546
🌤️ WEATHER#331$5,245Vol: $100,076
📈 ECONOMICS#4,584$445Vol: $75,658
📢 MENTIONS#1,932$575Vol: $40,736

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$184,579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,641,429
Total Redeem
$492,997
Portfolio
$105,166
Predictions
4456
total markets
Trades
2945B / 869S
Daily Volume
$821
Account Age
625d
since Oct 21, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-266
Vol: $15,189
Week
$-266
Vol: $15,189
Month
$5,855
Vol: $283,195
All Time
$184,579
Vol: $13,641,429

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
92%
186W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$7,117,386
Win Rate
64%
159W / 89L
Profit Factor
2.61x
Avg Win
$3,877
Avg Loss
$-2,653

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $480,098 (126.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$409,869
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$45,222
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25,006
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas$15,879
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$8,805
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?$8,533
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January $8,355
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be ove$6,597
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6,454
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$5,504

Top Losers

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-71,992
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-28,245
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$-15,947
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times May 30–June 6?$-15,127
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential electio$-12,031
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$-8,443
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People o$-7,734
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-6,929
Will Canada win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?$-4,651
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?$-4,590

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
318.238
HHI
331
Diversified
EV per $1
$67.055
Kelly %
48.7%
Half-Kelly
24.4%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — typical for humanSize CV 5.59 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.5
Active DCA
<=1
105 entries
<=2
169 entries
<=5
237 entries
<=10
284 entries
<=20
313 entries
<=50
334 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)27.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.4%

Other$389,829
Miami$11,292
Netanyahu$0
Paris$0
London$-1,138
Milan$-3,781
Seoul$-15,947

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
199

Single bracket

<=1
145 brackets
<=2
175 brackets
<=3
185 brackets
<=4
189 brackets
<=5
193 brackets
<=8
197 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 2:22:33 AM7 trades$15210 min
11/6/2024, 2:38:45 AM1 trades$800 min
11/6/2024, 2:45:15 AM1 trades$900 min
11/6/2024, 2:55:27 AM1 trades$40 min
11/6/2024, 6:59:45 AM1 trades$200 min
11/6/2024, 7:08:33 AM2 trades$605 min
11/6/2024, 7:27:23 AM2 trades$223 min
11/6/2024, 7:50:17 AM1 trades$650 min
11/6/2024, 7:58:09 AM2 trades$60 min
11/6/2024, 8:13:07 AM1 trades$50 min
11/6/2024, 8:20:07 AM1 trades$10 min
11/6/2024, 8:26:57 AM1 trades$30 min
11/6/2024, 8:32:11 AM1 trades$30 min
11/6/2024, 8:37:29 AM1 trades$50 min
11/6/2024, 8:49:13 AM2 trades$321 min
11/6/2024, 10:05:22 AM1 trades$300 min
11/6/2024, 10:11:04 AM5 trades$14015 min
11/6/2024, 11:16:33 AM2 trades$173 min
11/8/2024, 5:02:14 PM1 trades$2450 min
11/12/2024, 10:55:05 PM1 trades$1970 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-02
06-02
09-09
11-28
02-23
09-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event