@Spermwhaler
#2,980,931760x5d81991835ef88f17cb628e84d245e4b6b713816
~16d· 29 markets · 63 tradesVol: $88,0942026-09-21 19:34:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (12/23)11.1/20
5.60x (win $4,831 / loss $862)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.79715/15
Sortino 76.79710/10
$+0.4957 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2450 (23 markets)0.2/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($356 / $3,969)10/10
Badges
2Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#24,290$621Vol: $80,697
⚽ SPORTS#1,882,199$-1,402Vol: $6,594
📢 MENTIONS#167,491$-95Vol: $631
₿ CRYPTO#1,351,730$-35Vol: $126
🎭 CULTURE#53,649$17Vol: $47
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-895
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,094
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
36B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$130
Vol: $0
Week
$447
Vol: $62,395
Month
$447
Vol: $62,395
All Time
$-895
Vol: $88,094
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
12W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-869
Win Rate
52%
12W / 11L
Profit Factor
5.6x
Avg Win
$403
Avg Loss
$-78
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,240 (4.876257950245552% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,112
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,621
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$507
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$198
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$183
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$80
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$45
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$24
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$23
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?$18
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-400
US government shutdown Saturday?$-100
Will Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?$-100
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-67
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-40
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-30
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-30
Will India join the Board of Peace?$-25
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-25
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?$-25
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.441
Sortino
4.998
HHI
5851
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.336
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
58.7%
Top-5 markets
132.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)44.4%
Sessions
#124/16/2026, 2:17:36 PM2 trades$2,3510 min
6/22/2026, 7:36:49 PM2 trades$1,8920 min
4/1/2026, 7:28:13 PM5 trades$1,5170 min
4/1/2026, 8:31:25 PM2 trades$1,1850 min
4/13/2026, 2:38:35 PM2 trades$1,1850 min
1/21/2026, 2:24:42 PM4 trades$7203 min
4/1/2026, 7:34:51 PM8 trades$5510 min
2/24/2026, 8:00:10 PM6 trades$4306 min
3/11/2026, 10:34:51 AM2 trades$4232 min
9/14/2026, 8:02:34 AM10 trades$4000 min
3/8/2026, 1:43:15 PM1 trades$3480 min
1/21/2026, 3:07:42 PM2 trades$3001 min
3/8/2026, 6:41:45 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/22/2026, 9:14:42 AM1 trades$1500 min
5/25/2026, 5:36:24 AM4 trades$1330 min
7/7/2026, 5:37:32 PM2 trades$1040 min
1/25/2026, 11:51:08 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/7/2026, 6:08:39 PM1 trades$670 min
1/22/2026, 9:26:04 AM2 trades$500 min
1/26/2026, 8:05:41 AM1 trades$500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-24
01-26
02-24
03-11
04-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M38.9 / H44.4