@Started-with-20-USD

#5,96978

0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050

~149d· 1725 markets · 11745 tradesVol: $587,5072026-08-05 22:31:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (876/1612)12.2/20
1.43x (win $62,522 / loss $43,597)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.16215/15
Sortino 4.63910/10
$+0.1130 per $1 invested5.7/10
HHI 106 (1612 markets)10/10
88/138 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($5,384 / $19,836)8.6/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+27,217
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$167,445 invested
Consistent
88/138 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#250$19,117Vol: $362,340
SPORTS#8,277$5,730Vol: $101,848
🏛️ POLITICS#24,448$608Vol: $36,038
📢 MENTIONS#2,355$457Vol: $12,728
📈 ECONOMICS#3,419$857Vol: $10,073
🎭 CULTURE#780,478$-99Vol: $5,771
🌤️ WEATHER#6,283$126Vol: $3,452
CRYPTO#134,363$45Vol: $2,649
💻 TECH#246,401$-63Vol: $2,311

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27,717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$587,507
Total Redeem
$1,057
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1725
total markets
Trades
5546B / 6199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d

Periods

#2
Today
$50
Vol: $12,016
Week
$426
Vol: $21,875
Month
$335
Vol: $22,401
All Time
$27,717
Vol: $587,507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
876W / 736L events
Realized PnL
$27,217
Win Rate
54%
876W / 736L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,342 (0.3432422889555217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$3,590
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?$3,295
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?$2,456
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?$1,970
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?$1,959
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10?$1,845
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1,618
Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1,345
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?$1,318
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1,318

Top Losers

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$-4,178
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$-3,409
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?$-1,949
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-1,440
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?$-1,347
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?$-1,247
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$-1,060
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?$-867
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?$-720
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-590

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.156
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.124
Kelly %
6.4%
Half-Kelly
3.2%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.8
Very active
Markets / Day
9.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 254s — normal for humanCV 3.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading9.4 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.69
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)34%
High (>55c)49.4%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 9:22:08 AM53 trades$7,30427 min
7/5/2026, 2:37:20 PM113 trades$7,21052 min
7/18/2026, 4:07:22 PM15 trades$5,7199 min
7/18/2026, 4:23:06 PM3 trades$5,7000 min
6/4/2026, 2:10:51 PM89 trades$4,72027 min
7/19/2026, 1:09:39 PM140 trades$4,38472 min
5/29/2026, 7:34:21 AM21 trades$4,17216 min
6/10/2026, 5:46:49 AM94 trades$4,14313 min
5/28/2026, 9:17:03 AM23 trades$3,5027 min
6/12/2026, 12:23:09 PM42 trades$3,04222 min
6/4/2026, 12:05:34 PM43 trades$2,82115 min
7/9/2026, 3:35:58 PM63 trades$2,71021 min
6/9/2026, 5:40:52 AM78 trades$2,58918 min
6/8/2026, 7:39:49 AM58 trades$2,56715 min
7/25/2026, 5:33:42 PM31 trades$2,2728 min
7/9/2026, 8:57:56 PM27 trades$2,2509 min
5/28/2026, 1:41:59 PM23 trades$2,17711 min
6/5/2026, 7:55:21 PM14 trades$2,0058 min
6/27/2026, 3:03:23 PM42 trades$1,99110 min
7/17/2026, 7:15:09 PM22 trades$1,9395 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
03-28
04-21
05-14
06-11
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M34 / H49.4