Polydata
Data is 9 days old — refreshing in background...

@Strange-Church

#35830

0x21ecbb95a15822bbdd4ab71345385a6056d95348

231d· 853 markets · 8603 tradesVol: $10,079,6592026-06-24T16:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.32x0/15
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 16%0/10

Summary

Strange-Church is an active Polymarket trader ranked #358 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $487,467.61 generated over 198 days. They have executed 8,603 trades across 301 markets, totaling over $10 million in volume. Despite a substantial trading footprint, Strange-Church’s Smart Score sits at 30/100, indicating below-average efficiency in their trading decisions.

This trader appears to focus on high-frequency activity with a fast interface but maintains a very low win rate of 22.7% and a profit factor of 0.32, suggesting many trades are losses balanced by a few large wins. Their sell percentage is only 3%, implying a strong buy-and-hold or diamond hands approach rather than frequent position flipping. Strange-Church does not engage in weather markets and shows an upward equity trend, hinting at a strategy that relies on selective, high-conviction bets rather than broad diversification.

Strange-Church’s main strength lies in their ability to generate significant net profits despite a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.42) and low win rate, indicating a tolerance for risk and capacity to hold positions through volatility. However, the negative profit factor and below-average Smart Score highlight potential inefficiencies and risks of large drawdowns, even though max drawdown duration is currently zero. Traders following Strange-Church on Polymarket should be aware of the inherent volatility and risk profile in this approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+487,468
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
57 wins in a row
Whale
$2,792,502
High Roller
$14,130/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#5,082$8,970Vol: $66,000
🏛️ POLITICS#451,967$0Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$487,468
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,079,659
Total Redeem
$1,257,613
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
853
total markets
Trades
8323B / 280S
Daily Volume
$14,130
Account Age
231d
since Nov 14, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$487,468
Vol: $10,079,659

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
205W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$2,098,992
Win Rate
23%
61W / 208L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$9,383
Avg Loss
$-8,549

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championsh$76,003
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group$46,900
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner$27,503
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St$23,744
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo$23,148
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 $22,484
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$21,057
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$20,500
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group$18,000
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Play$17,437

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gro$-34,045
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage$-31,787
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gro$-27,533
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Grou$-25,614
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Ro$-22,800
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs$-22,703
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League $-21,710
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs$-20,263
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro Le$-20,158
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro Leag$-20,051

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.421
Sortino
-0.661
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.475
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
43.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 3.88 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness44 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
35 entries
<=2
48 entries
<=5
74 entries
<=10
113 entries
<=20
175 entries
<=50
246 entries
>50
55 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)53.5%
High (>55c)44.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Atlanta$96,273
Other$-1,302,096

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
239

Single bracket

<=1
186 brackets
<=2
232 brackets
<=3
237 brackets
<=4
239 brackets
<=5
239 brackets
<=8
239 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/14/2025, 4:29:16 AM1 trades$2,5920 min
11/15/2025, 11:28:49 AM1 trades$5460 min
11/15/2025, 11:42:49 AM20 trades$3,22011 min
11/16/2025, 2:04:03 AM2 trades$6550 min
11/16/2025, 2:19:59 AM1 trades$2,5650 min
11/16/2025, 3:16:01 AM1 trades$9200 min
11/24/2025, 7:00:07 PM4 trades$5,8801 min
11/25/2025, 12:21:41 PM1 trades$300 min
11/25/2025, 12:29:23 PM13 trades$1,63412 min
11/25/2025, 12:47:57 PM6 trades$1,84513 min
11/25/2025, 1:07:27 PM2 trades$83 min
11/25/2025, 1:16:59 PM15 trades$2,83920 min
11/25/2025, 1:55:43 PM2 trades$7644 min
11/25/2025, 2:13:33 PM20 trades$2768 min
11/25/2025, 2:33:35 PM2 trades$1344 min
11/25/2025, 2:54:25 PM1 trades$130 min
11/25/2025, 2:59:43 PM8 trades$3,42314 min
11/26/2025, 12:24:29 PM1 trades$3,3500 min
11/26/2025, 4:47:45 PM2 trades$9462 min
11/26/2025, 5:03:51 PM1 trades$410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
01-15
02-15
03-14
04-04
05-09
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event