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@Studious-Annual

#4,35585

0x0327de23ebe4e5829d1bf38dd30df70d74611390

541d· 53 markets · 177 tradesVol: $134,6882026-05-14T15:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 3.47x15/15
Sharpe 0.2044/15
Sortino 0.6597/10
EV $+185.73210/10
HHI 6069/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Studious-Annual is a moderately active manual trader on Polymarket, ranked #4355 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $31,195.56. Over 752 days, they executed 177 trades across 53 markets, accumulating a total volume of $134,688. Despite a portfolio value of only $123.50, Studious-Annual’s smart score of 85/100 reflects strong trading skill, supported by an 80.8% win rate and a profit factor of 3.48.

This trader’s style is characterized by a high win rate and low sell percentage, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent profit-taking. Studious-Annual avoids weather markets, focusing on other event types, and maintains a low-risk profile as suggested by zero days of max drawdown duration. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.20 points to modest risk-adjusted returns, while the manual trading bot score of 10/100 confirms a human-driven, deliberate approach likely relying on selective, timely entries.

Studious-Annual’s key strengths include consistent profitability, strong risk management, and a high win streak, as highlighted by badges like "Sniper" and "Diamond Hands." However, the downward equity trend signals potential challenges in recent market conditions, raising concerns about sustainability. The relatively low portfolio value compared to net PnL may indicate capital withdrawal or reinvestment issues that traders should monitor when evaluating this trader’s long-term performance on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+31,196
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$68,511
Consistent
28/36 days
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,566$31,267Vol: $133,325
🏛️ POLITICS#1,366,476$-43Vol: $1,280
CRYPTO#1,201,540$-31Vol: $44
🎭 CULTURE#120,419$2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,688
Total Redeem
$97,026
Portfolio
$124
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
168B / 9S
Daily Volume
$91
Account Age
541d
since Nov 26, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-69
Vol: $0
Month
$-45
Vol: $1,088
All Time
$31,196
Vol: $134,688

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
79%
42W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$31,240
Win Rate
81%
42W / 10L
Profit Factor
3.48x
Avg Win
$1,043
Avg Loss
$-1,259

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,992 (96% of PnL)

Top Winners

76ers vs. Celtics$24,389
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?$2,802
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$2,801
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?$2,729
Vikings vs. Bears$1,837
76ers vs. Celtics$1,498
Bulls vs. Wizards$1,422
Cavaliers vs. Pacers$1,382
Dodgers vs. Pirates$982
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?$782

Top Losers

Pirates vs. Orioles$-3,909
76ers vs. Celtics$-2,870
Celtics vs. Knicks$-2,291
Thunder vs. Nuggets$-1,444
Grizzlies vs. Celtics$-1,440
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-560
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$-35
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-31
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-8
Royals vs. Guardians$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.204
Sortino
0.659
HHI
606
Moderate
EV per $1
$185.732
Kelly %
59.6%
Half-Kelly
29.8%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
43.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.84 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
36 entries
<=2
37 entries
<=5
41 entries
<=10
49 entries
<=20
52 entries
<=50
53 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)66.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65.8%

Other$28,399
Paris$2,802
Munich$29
New York City$1
Milan$1
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
53

Single bracket

<=1
53 brackets
<=2
53 brackets
<=3
53 brackets
<=4
53 brackets
<=5
53 brackets
<=8
53 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/8/2024, 12:29:43 AM10 trades$1,4231 min
12/8/2024, 12:39:17 AM2 trades$171 min
12/10/2024, 6:48:43 AM1 trades$100 min
12/10/2024, 6:58:27 AM1 trades$1430 min
12/10/2024, 7:49:45 AM1 trades$190 min
12/10/2024, 9:16:30 AM1 trades$3890 min
12/11/2024, 6:25:23 PM8 trades$461 min
12/14/2024, 12:49:37 AM1 trades$720 min
12/14/2024, 1:03:13 AM1 trades$3330 min
12/14/2024, 1:10:19 AM2 trades$32 min
12/14/2024, 1:20:25 AM1 trades$20 min
12/14/2024, 1:39:13 AM1 trades$30 min
12/14/2024, 1:50:01 AM5 trades$1478 min
12/14/2024, 8:44:36 AM1 trades$110 min
12/14/2024, 9:52:00 AM1 trades$180 min
12/15/2024, 11:50:53 AM1 trades$350 min
1/31/2025, 8:45:36 PM1 trades$300 min
4/14/2025, 5:29:14 AM1 trades$350 min
5/6/2025, 6:54:53 PM1 trades$1,3320 min
5/7/2025, 5:26:36 PM1 trades$2,1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
05-06
09-04
09-17
03-24
04-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event