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@Studious-Annual

#4,65785

0x0327de23ebe4e5829d1bf38dd30df70d74611390

577d· 53 markets · 177 tradesVol: $134,6882026-06-05T20:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 3.44x15/15
Sharpe 0.2034/15
Sortino 0.6657/10
EV $+184.99710/10
HHI 6069/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Studious-Annual is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 177 trades across 53 markets over 752 days. Ranking #4657 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $31,072.06 from a total trading volume of $134,688. Their smart score of 85/100 indicates very good overall performance, supported by a high win rate of 80.8% and a profit factor of 3.48. Despite this, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their equity trend shows a recent decline.

The trading style of Studious-Annual appears to be manual and selective, as reflected by their low bot score of 10/100 and the "Sniper" badge. They favor a low sell percentage of 5%, suggesting a buy-and-hold approach with a focus on capturing high-probability outcomes. The absence of weather market trades and a Sharpe ratio of 0.20 indicates a conservative risk profile with moderate volatility exposure. Their timing likely involves careful entry points rather than frequent rapid trades.

Studious-Annual’s key strengths include a strong win rate, solid profit factor, and consistency as a manual trader, which contribute to their positive cumulative returns on Polymarket. However, the downward equity trend and zero portfolio value may indicate recent drawdowns or withdrawals that could impact future performance. Additionally, a max drawdown duration of zero days suggests limited experience managing prolonged adverse market conditions, presenting a potential risk factor for volatility spikes.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+31,072
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$68,511
Consistent
28/36 days
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,697$31,267Vol: $133,325
🏛️ POLITICS#1,492,452$-166Vol: $1,280
CRYPTO#1,239,621$-31Vol: $44
🎭 CULTURE#125,261$2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,072
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,688
Total Redeem
$97,026
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
168B / 9S
Daily Volume
$91
Account Age
577d
since Nov 26, 2024

Periods

#2
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$31,072
Vol: $134,688

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
79%
42W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$31,240
Win Rate
81%
42W / 10L
Profit Factor
3.48x
Avg Win
$1,043
Avg Loss
$-1,259

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,992 (96% of PnL)

Top Winners

76ers vs. Celtics$24,389
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?$2,802
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$2,801
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?$2,729
Vikings vs. Bears$1,837
76ers vs. Celtics$1,498
Bulls vs. Wizards$1,422
Cavaliers vs. Pacers$1,382
Dodgers vs. Pirates$982
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?$782

Top Losers

Pirates vs. Orioles$-3,909
76ers vs. Celtics$-2,870
Celtics vs. Knicks$-2,291
Thunder vs. Nuggets$-1,444
Grizzlies vs. Celtics$-1,440
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-560
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$-35
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-31
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-8
Royals vs. Guardians$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.203
Sortino
0.665
HHI
606
Moderate
EV per $1
$184.997
Kelly %
59.6%
Half-Kelly
29.8%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
43.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.84 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
36 entries
<=2
37 entries
<=5
41 entries
<=10
49 entries
<=20
52 entries
<=50
53 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)66.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65.8%

Other$28,399
Paris$2,802
Munich$29
New York City$1
Milan$1
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
53

Single bracket

<=1
53 brackets
<=2
53 brackets
<=3
53 brackets
<=4
53 brackets
<=5
53 brackets
<=8
53 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/8/2024, 12:29:43 AM10 trades$1,4231 min
12/8/2024, 12:39:17 AM2 trades$171 min
12/10/2024, 6:48:43 AM1 trades$100 min
12/10/2024, 6:58:27 AM1 trades$1430 min
12/10/2024, 7:49:45 AM1 trades$190 min
12/10/2024, 9:16:30 AM1 trades$3890 min
12/11/2024, 6:25:23 PM8 trades$461 min
12/14/2024, 12:49:37 AM1 trades$720 min
12/14/2024, 1:03:13 AM1 trades$3330 min
12/14/2024, 1:10:19 AM2 trades$32 min
12/14/2024, 1:20:25 AM1 trades$20 min
12/14/2024, 1:39:13 AM1 trades$30 min
12/14/2024, 1:50:01 AM5 trades$1478 min
12/14/2024, 8:44:36 AM1 trades$110 min
12/14/2024, 9:52:00 AM1 trades$180 min
12/15/2024, 11:50:53 AM1 trades$350 min
1/31/2025, 8:45:36 PM1 trades$300 min
4/14/2025, 5:29:14 AM1 trades$350 min
5/6/2025, 6:54:53 PM1 trades$1,3320 min
5/7/2025, 5:26:36 PM1 trades$2,1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
05-06
09-04
09-17
03-24
04-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event