Polydata

@Suburban-Belt

#400,50791

0x4bbcd101f36c8ae3ed29776b7697daeb5a013da0

79d· 631 markets · 616 tradesVol: $6,5242026-06-25T21:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.98315/15
Sortino 4680.57910/10
EV $+0.0121/10
HHI 1710/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Suburban-Belt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 616 trades across 616 markets over 22 days. Despite a relatively low global rank of #400,507, the trader boasts an impressive net profit of $20.08 with a perfect win rate of 100%, supported by a Smart Score of 91/100, indicating elite trading skill. Their total trading volume amounts to $6,524, and their Sharpe Ratio of 0.98 suggests a reasonable balance between risk and return.

The trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, reflecting a focused and niche strategy. Suburban-Belt maintains a highly conservative risk profile, evidenced by zero sell-offs and a max drawdown duration of zero days. Their trading style appears to emphasize holding positions, as indicated by the Diamond Hands badge, and consistent timing that leverages short-term opportunities within weather-related events. The bot score of 65/100 suggests a semi-automated approach, combining algorithmic trading with manual oversight.

Suburban-Belt’s key strengths include an unbroken win streak and consistent upward equity trend, demonstrating strong discipline and market insight in their chosen niche. However, the absence of any profitable sell trades and a profit factor of 0.00 could point to limited profit-taking strategies, which may restrict upside potential. Additionally, the relatively small net PnL and portfolio value indicate that while the approach is effective, it operates on a modest scale with limited capital deployment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+20
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
616 wins in a row
Consistent
15/15 days

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#15,096$20Vol: $6,524

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,524
Total Redeem
$6,153
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
631
total markets
Trades
616B / 0S
Daily Volume
$273
Account Age
79d
since Apr 8, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
199W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$70
Win Rate
100%
616W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (30.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 20?$13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on Apr$6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F $4
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 25?$3
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 24?$2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F $2
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April$2
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on April 15?$1
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on Apr$1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 20?$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.983
Sortino
inf
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.7
Active
Markets / Day
27.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.17
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1444s — typical for humanSize CV 0.17 — templated orders23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high28 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
616 entries
<=2
616 entries
<=5
616 entries
<=10
616 entries
<=20
616 entries
<=50
616 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)99.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.7%

Amsterdam$19
Chicago$8
New York City$5
Helsinki$5
Jeddah$4
Warsaw$4
Houston$3
San Francisco$2
Lagos$2
Denver$2
Dallas$2
Cape Town$1
Toronto$1
Atlanta$1
Wellington$1
Shenzhen$1
Kuala Lumpur$1
Chongqing$1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
367

Single bracket

<=1
189 brackets
<=2
308 brackets
<=3
357 brackets
<=4
365 brackets
<=5
367 brackets
<=8
367 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 5:22:25 AM3 trades$611 min
4/15/2026, 6:00:10 AM2 trades$204 min
4/15/2026, 7:06:44 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 7:26:38 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 7:31:52 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 7:53:46 AM2 trades$204 min
4/15/2026, 8:23:30 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 9:03:04 AM1 trades$50 min
4/15/2026, 9:36:24 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 9:54:30 AM2 trades$200 min
4/15/2026, 10:29:34 AM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 11:56:08 AM2 trades$201 min
4/15/2026, 12:36:28 PM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 2:02:30 PM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 2:57:36 PM2 trades$203 min
4/15/2026, 3:56:34 PM4 trades$404 min
4/15/2026, 4:56:38 PM2 trades$204 min
4/15/2026, 5:26:34 PM1 trades$100 min
4/15/2026, 5:55:30 PM3 trades$301 min
4/15/2026, 10:00:20 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-16
04-18
04-20
04-22
04-24
04-26
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event