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@Superficial-Atheist

#2,906,79045

0x0b450a6b5b5ddc278e8717ec9628f1abdbd5ac9f

95d· 3502 markets · 21280 tradesVol: $2,030,0342026-06-24T07:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 25%0/20
Profit Factor 1.32x6/15
Sharpe 0.2735/15
Sortino 0.4585/10
EV $+0.29610/10
HHI 3510/10
Profit Days 53%6/10
DD/Peak 52%4/10

Summary

Superficial-Atheist is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 21,280 trades across 1,483 markets over 282 days. Despite the high volume, their overall performance ranks low at #2,906,790 on the global PnL leaderboard, reflecting a net loss of $32,061.92. Their portfolio value is minimal at $0.16, indicating significant drawdowns or recent losses. The trader’s smart score is average at 45/100, and the Sharpe ratio of 0.27 suggests low risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Superficial-Atheist appears automated, supported by a bot score of 70/100 and badges such as "Bot" and "DCA Master," indicating a systematic dollar-cost averaging approach. Their risk profile is aggressive given the large trading volume and low profit factor of 0.24, which implies losses outweigh gains. The trader does not engage in weather markets and exhibits a zero percent sell rate, consistent with the “Diamond Hands” badge, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than exit quickly.

Superficial-Atheist’s strengths lie in consistent activity and disciplined entry patterns enabled by automation, which helps maintain a stable equity trend without prolonged drawdowns. However, the significant net loss and sub-50% win rate highlight potential inefficiencies in market selection or timing. The reliance on automated strategies without adaptive risk management poses ongoing risks, especially in volatile Polymarket environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 14.3 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$322,793
High Roller
$1,145/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,743,537$-19,285Vol: $1,407,368

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32,062
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,030,034
Total Redeem
$30,302
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3502
total markets
Trades
21279B / 1S
Daily Volume
$1,145
Account Age
95d
since Mar 24, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
335W / 920L events
Realized PnL
$163,113
Win Rate
49%
106W / 112L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-190

Top Winners

Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta$705
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B$384
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner$267
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$263
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1s$191
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings$179
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner$167
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?$161
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Seri$155
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner$154

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Kings$-3,560
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-3,182
Spurs vs. Nuggets$-2,589
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$-2,263
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweigh$-1,997
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$-1,287
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$-460
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamar$-398
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$-343
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-320

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.273
Sortino
0.458
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.296
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
475.1
Very active
Markets / Day
33.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 1.09 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness475 trades/day — automation33 markets/day — mass coverage1523 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
256 entries
<=2
435 entries
<=5
706 entries
<=10
951 entries
<=20
1178 entries
<=50
1383 entries
>50
100 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.3%
Mid (20-55c)51.8%
High (>55c)31%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70%

Chicago$109
Shenzhen$51
Beijing$19
Wuhan$15
Miami$0
Sao Paulo$0
Atlanta$0
Paris$0
Toronto$0
San Francisco$0
São Paulo$0
Lucknow$0
New York City$0
Austin$0
Seattle$0
Milan$0
Chongqing$0
Jinmen Hu FC win$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
1196

Single bracket

<=1
984 brackets
<=2
1125 brackets
<=3
1193 brackets
<=4
1195 brackets
<=5
1196 brackets
<=8
1196 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 4:14:11 PM4 trades$775 min
3/24/2026, 4:29:07 PM1 trades$50 min
3/24/2026, 4:36:47 PM6 trades$997 min
3/24/2026, 4:48:33 PM3 trades$513 min
3/24/2026, 5:24:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 6:06:21 PM27 trades$59134 min
3/24/2026, 6:45:13 PM22 trades$17915 min
3/24/2026, 7:05:29 PM68 trades$1,19462 min
3/24/2026, 8:15:29 PM3 trades$221 min
3/24/2026, 8:22:39 PM19 trades$23120 min
3/24/2026, 9:05:37 PM1 trades$180 min
3/24/2026, 9:14:41 PM30 trades$27823 min
3/24/2026, 9:50:21 PM29 trades$40516 min
3/24/2026, 10:12:57 PM6 trades$837 min
3/24/2026, 10:29:21 PM3 trades$324 min
3/24/2026, 10:39:25 PM159 trades$2,52955 min
3/25/2026, 12:08:53 AM13 trades$14715 min
3/25/2026, 12:31:31 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 2:14:15 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 9:53:19 AM4 trades$362 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-01
04-09
04-17
04-25
05-03
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event