@TODD2012
#163,732600xeec0b3329763b09d4e26a2a1710a97f42e287ca4
~12d· 8 markets · 65 tradesVol: $26,1222026-10-08 02:53:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (4/6)18.3/20
3.11x (win $228 / loss $73)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2263 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 7244 (6 markets)0/10
4/6 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($73 / $228)7.6/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+385
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Consistent
4/6 profitable days
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#4,516$226Vol: $25,122
📈 ECONOMICS#600,165$-8Vol: $1,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,122
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
26B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$-18
Vol: $720
Week
$-182
Vol: $3,144
Month
$-157
Vol: $13,415
All Time
$217
Vol: $26,122
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
4W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$385
Win Rate
80%
4W / 1L
Profit Factor
3.11x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $226 (0.5879267817733351% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?$138
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on August 10?$82
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?$6
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?$2
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 21?$-41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-32
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.367
Sortino
3.953
HHI
237
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.663
Kelly %
32.5%
Half-Kelly
16.2%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
31.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 243s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.2%
High (>55c)46.2%
Sessions
#129/16/2026, 11:39:54 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
9/23/2026, 9:23:53 PM7 trades$3130 min
9/21/2026, 5:18:15 AM5 trades$920 min
5/29/2026, 4:56:01 PM6 trades$860 min
9/21/2026, 9:48:36 PM5 trades$741 min
9/8/2026, 10:06:04 PM5 trades$702 min
9/11/2026, 7:56:21 PM4 trades$650 min
5/29/2026, 7:51:13 PM8 trades$621 min
8/10/2026, 2:53:42 PM3 trades$580 min
9/24/2026, 5:36:23 AM4 trades$480 min
9/25/2026, 5:00:42 AM3 trades$400 min
6/10/2026, 10:55:57 PM2 trades$330 min
6/9/2026, 9:55:18 PM4 trades$310 min
9/10/2026, 8:42:37 AM1 trades$210 min
8/10/2026, 2:13:30 PM4 trades$139 min
9/21/2026, 10:42:55 PM2 trades$30 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-09
06-10
08-10
09-16
09-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
83.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M46.2 / H46.2