@TPAA

#126,04625

0x93ef12bfc73651880a24c0679333cc4ca0dc468b

~220d· 395 markets · 7410 tradesVol: $2,996,556 @PrimerBitcoin2026-08-06 07:07:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (176/373)8.6/20
0.94x (win $101,755 / loss $108,533)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3740/15
Sortino -0.5340/10
$-0.0095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 166 (373 markets)10/10
71/146 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 360% of peak ($33,958 / $9,427)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+541
DCA Master
Avg 24.1 entries/market
Whale
$709,699 invested
High Roller
$2,374/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,150$-2,124Vol: $1,190,479
SPORTS#1,867,703$-3,103Vol: $1,013,323
CRYPTO#4,130$11,634Vol: $342,227
💰 FINANCE#658,233$-4,905Vol: $277,880
🎭 CULTURE#808,118$-631Vol: $62,718
🌤️ WEATHER#296,120$-552Vol: $48,069
📈 ECONOMICS#4,679$507Vol: $47,446
📢 MENTIONS#172,875$-418Vol: $12,521
💻 TECH#185,314$-1Vol: $1,392

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$414
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,996,556
Total Redeem
$15,192
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
395
total markets
Trades
4786B / 2624S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~220d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $0
Week
$-237
Vol: $318
Month
$-370
Vol: $318
All Time
$414
Vol: $2,996,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
176W / 197L events
Realized PnL
$541
Win Rate
47%
176W / 197L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$578
Avg Loss
$-577

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,901 (47.874567937746065% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12,108
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$7,324
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6,469
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6,044
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$4,954
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4,686
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$4,284
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,531
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$3,396
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3,193

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-10,116
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-10,110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-7,401
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-6,724
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,351
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$-4,907
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-4,318
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,660
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,223
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-3,093

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
296
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.9m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)56%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 9:57:31 PM77 trades$33,30423 min
3/28/2026, 1:21:03 AM50 trades$13,89428 min
5/5/2026, 2:49:52 AM24 trades$10,10817 min
3/28/2026, 12:23:05 AM32 trades$9,37230 min
3/19/2026, 4:42:55 PM3 trades$8,8752 min
3/19/2026, 9:40:43 PM3 trades$8,7742 min
6/2/2026, 8:53:59 PM2 trades$8,7300 min
4/6/2026, 8:46:57 PM33 trades$8,6396 min
5/13/2026, 9:06:12 AM18 trades$8,2648 min
6/8/2026, 9:52:15 PM34 trades$8,22513 min
6/8/2026, 10:14:39 PM13 trades$8,2247 min
3/21/2026, 8:22:21 PM36 trades$8,21528 min
12/29/2025, 10:31:31 AM1 trades$7,8000 min
6/3/2026, 4:59:07 PM26 trades$7,74732 min
4/28/2026, 6:17:14 AM15 trades$7,6673 min
2/17/2026, 11:23:15 PM2 trades$7,6611 min
4/5/2026, 10:56:17 PM60 trades$7,09418 min
4/1/2026, 7:15:49 PM26 trades$7,0176 min
3/25/2026, 10:32:13 PM140 trades$6,706118 min
1/31/2026, 10:45:04 AM7 trades$6,4987 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
12-03
01-15
03-17
04-23
06-01
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M21.6 / H56