Polydata

@Thanks4TheMoney

#3,058,98823

0x1e0f2a7ac232e767b35a2ea5e9447a06c2759556

~93d· 130 markets · 2240 tradesVol: $2,005,6812026-07-31 15:28:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (48/114)6.1/20
1.01x (win $68,905 / loss $68,151)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0521/15
Sortino 0.0760.8/10
$+0.0019 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 453 (114 markets)10/10
29/70 profitable days (41%)2.9/10
Max DD 192% of peak ($45,683 / $23,737)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$394,946 invested
High Roller
$1,549/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,497$-24,595Vol: $1,694,649
CRYPTO#4,291$11,287Vol: $122,868
💻 TECH#257,162$-2,168Vol: $85,133
SPORTS#37,562$1,017Vol: $32,054
💰 FINANCE#38,542$22Vol: $24,120
📈 ECONOMICS#2,840$1,163Vol: $21,945
🎭 CULTURE#812,221$-1,659Vol: $12,095
🌤️ WEATHER#297,000$-1,163Vol: $9,911
📢 MENTIONS#167,580$-168Vol: $2,906

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,263
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,005,681
Total Redeem
$4,167
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
582B / 1658S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$-193
Vol: $14,966
Week
$427
Vol: $34,543
Month
$1,591
Vol: $59,143
All Time
$-16,263
Vol: $2,005,681

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
48W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$-16,254
Win Rate
42%
48W / 66L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$1,436
Avg Loss
$-1,048

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,864 (2.3910799473850646% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$14,800
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14,305
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$9,759
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$4,752
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$4,745
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3,421
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$3,009
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$2,938
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2,194
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,867

Top Losers

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$-13,228
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-9,664
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-5,846
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-5,765
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-4,317
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$-3,899
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$-3,514
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$-2,496
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$-2,393
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$-1,917

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.003
HHI
392
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
34.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)59.5%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 7:29:57 PM2 trades$32,8372 min
3/3/2026, 8:38:35 PM4 trades$31,2162 min
3/8/2026, 9:08:33 PM2 trades$27,1673 min
6/1/2026, 12:27:35 PM48 trades$23,76116 min
3/3/2026, 9:28:55 PM4 trades$20,6714 min
4/16/2026, 3:52:24 PM53 trades$18,0071 min
2/26/2026, 3:06:16 PM1 trades$17,3250 min
3/20/2026, 5:37:53 PM3 trades$16,9731 min
2/28/2026, 9:45:45 PM1 trades$15,9120 min
2/28/2026, 8:41:27 PM1 trades$15,1360 min
2/28/2026, 8:24:09 PM1 trades$15,0000 min
2/28/2026, 9:37:57 PM1 trades$15,0000 min
6/17/2026, 5:40:46 PM58 trades$13,7968 min
3/2/2026, 8:13:49 PM5 trades$13,4347 min
3/3/2026, 1:42:23 PM3 trades$12,7474 min
6/1/2026, 12:59:36 PM16 trades$12,2250 min
7/29/2026, 6:11:59 PM2 trades$11,6550 min
3/3/2026, 1:57:45 PM6 trades$10,67911 min
6/1/2026, 2:33:24 PM12 trades$10,2970 min
4/16/2026, 3:36:54 PM36 trades$10,1354 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-19
01-12
02-20
03-24
04-19
05-22
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M18.7 / H59.5