@TheBigMuscle
#3,023,295190x270afb53118b0f5a9d706f4d90b82bb877d27b78
~387d· 619 markets · 3961 tradesVol: $861,3042026-08-05 18:42:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (257/586)6.9/20
0.75x (win $32,270 / loss $42,783)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0880/15
Sortino -1.2080/10
$-0.0756 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 158 (586 markets)10/10
95/237 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 244% of peak ($17,794 / $7,280)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$139,071 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,878,296$-10,415Vol: $264,714
🏛️ POLITICS#5,430$6,274Vol: $257,448
💻 TECH#1,938$619Vol: $99,232
💰 FINANCE#10,561$258Vol: $82,380
📈 ECONOMICS#680,172$-1,304Vol: $66,399
🎭 CULTURE#3,594$1,633Vol: $60,171
🌤️ WEATHER#287,487$-124Vol: $6,032
📢 MENTIONS#2,997$324Vol: $3,771
₿ CRYPTO#189,597$18Vol: $230
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,936
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$861,304
Total Redeem
$1,561
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
619
total markets
Trades
2899B / 1062S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~387d
Periods
#2Today
$639
Vol: $2,195
Week
$687
Vol: $7,213
Month
$743
Vol: $7,213
All Time
$-2,936
Vol: $861,304
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
257W / 329L events
Realized PnL
$-2,987
Win Rate
44%
257W / 329L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$126
Avg Loss
$-138
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,420 (2.1494997924172012% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Wisconsin be the closest state? $2,701
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$2,164
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?$1,555
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$1,496
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1,366
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1,231
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?$1,150
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?$1,129
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$1,100
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1,043
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-7,022
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,688
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,976
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-1,539
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,370
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?$-1,325
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-1,150
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-959
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-932
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$-884
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)59.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)25.4%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 8:44:14 PM14 trades$8,90612 min
6/12/2026, 5:11:30 PM25 trades$3,33914 min
4/15/2026, 7:04:46 PM26 trades$2,91916 min
2/6/2026, 4:54:21 AM1 trades$2,6700 min
5/22/2026, 6:50:39 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
7/2/2026, 5:20:28 AM33 trades$2,18912 min
3/19/2026, 6:53:13 AM3 trades$1,9095 min
4/15/2026, 7:56:28 PM21 trades$1,9086 min
2/18/2026, 1:31:19 AM9 trades$1,8974 min
5/11/2026, 12:34:51 AM9 trades$1,8080 min
8/4/2026, 9:53:11 PM16 trades$1,6220 min
3/25/2025, 5:12:30 PM7 trades$1,6187 min
6/12/2026, 5:39:31 PM4 trades$1,6172 min
6/30/2026, 7:47:40 PM2 trades$1,5900 min
8/5/2026, 6:09:39 AM10 trades$1,5363 min
7/3/2026, 5:01:32 AM20 trades$1,53613 min
2/9/2026, 5:48:17 AM3 trades$1,5017 min
2/28/2026, 11:17:59 PM1 trades$1,4990 min
4/7/2026, 7:50:09 PM34 trades$1,3365 min
3/15/2026, 8:00:39 AM9 trades$1,3329 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
01-19
06-01
09-29
12-31
03-15
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 217 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.8 / M14.8 / H25.4