@TheRealWarMonger
#3,050,555810xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
~256d· 549 markets · 14965 tradesVol: $6,577,2232026-08-02 06:05:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (412/512)20/20
1.83x (win $302,747 / loss $165,553)12.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.56915/15
Sortino 2.23110/10
$+0.0354 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 144 (512 markets)10/10
135/177 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($87,356 / $137,194)1.3/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 26.6 entries/market
Whale
$3,878,125 invested
Consistent
135/177 profitable days
High Roller
$13,281/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,092$45,765Vol: $4,243,831
📈 ECONOMICS#682,113$-21,253Vol: $1,825,543
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,976$-26,881Vol: $350,233
🎭 CULTURE#805,834$-547Vol: $84,822
💰 FINANCE#8,600$360Vol: $42,999
₿ CRYPTO#1,664,742$-5,339Vol: $29,473
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,875
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,577,223
Total Redeem
$5,592
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
549
total markets
Trades
10653B / 4312S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~256d
Periods
#2Today
$4,862
Vol: $10,600
Week
$-749
Vol: $10,600
Month
$4,252
Vol: $11,900
All Time
$-7,875
Vol: $6,577,223
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
412W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$-9,174
Win Rate
80%
412W / 100L
Profit Factor
1.83x
Avg Win
$735
Avg Loss
$-1,780
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117,966 (12.859316169625512% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$71,756
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23,428
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22,783
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$15,983
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$15,904
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$11,730
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$9,918
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$9,644
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9,341
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7,777
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-88,079
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-27,162
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-9,359
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-5,840
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-3,463
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-2,905
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-2,774
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-2,743
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,709
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-1,689
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.057
HHI
127
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
18.2%
Half-Kelly
9.1%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
17.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
51.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.5m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 171s — normal for humanCV 2.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)89.6%
Sessions
#122/28/2026, 7:31:19 PM143 trades$130,32857 min
3/2/2026, 10:21:11 AM74 trades$55,60067 min
6/15/2026, 5:37:18 AM60 trades$51,9835 min
3/3/2026, 9:31:31 PM203 trades$50,11278 min
3/2/2026, 9:22:19 AM63 trades$44,38547 min
4/7/2026, 8:34:05 PM257 trades$42,86165 min
5/7/2026, 7:47:21 PM46 trades$41,08524 min
5/1/2026, 9:25:42 AM1 trades$39,9600 min
3/3/2026, 8:22:03 PM158 trades$37,81831 min
5/4/2026, 9:49:02 AM30 trades$35,06518 min
5/7/2026, 7:13:20 PM38 trades$32,51025 min
3/16/2026, 7:58:59 AM14 trades$31,91011 min
6/17/2026, 8:44:46 PM12 trades$31,4346 min
3/18/2026, 5:57:17 PM110 trades$31,27842 min
3/3/2026, 10:29:31 AM57 trades$31,11741 min
5/7/2026, 6:46:27 PM56 trades$28,6889 min
4/13/2026, 3:38:51 PM85 trades$27,89216 min
6/15/2026, 3:33:34 PM21 trades$26,2659 min
6/16/2026, 10:22:57 AM5 trades$24,8550 min
12/10/2025, 5:12:50 PM3 trades$24,4653 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
12-24
02-26
03-28
05-04
06-15
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M6 / H89.6