@Thwolf
160x5b1611b18b21f5bbe0918f2d87a65587e4a2a327
~94d· 124 markets · 487 trades2026-08-26 09:12:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (43/120)2.9/20
0.70x (win $3,935 / loss $5,625)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7530/15
Sortino -2.0650/10
$-0.2717 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 743 (120 markets)8.8/10
32/69 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 553% of peak ($2,063 / $373)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-681
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,221
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
334B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
43W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$-681
Win Rate
36%
43W / 77L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,840 (2.701851770268881% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$761
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$563
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$516
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$360
Trump wins every swing state?$239
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$233
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$142
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$137
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?$74
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$74
Top Losers
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-1,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-721
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-690
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-411
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$-320
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-228
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-220
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-188
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-127
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?$-108
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
960
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.203
Kelly %
9.2%
Half-Kelly
4.6%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
59.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)24%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 6:50:31 PM4 trades$4,3400 min
5/2/2026, 3:47:54 PM2 trades$1,0330 min
7/11/2026, 10:08:55 AM2 trades$9300 min
4/10/2026, 2:38:53 PM4 trades$8600 min
5/2/2026, 6:43:28 AM3 trades$4670 min
7/11/2026, 9:20:59 AM45 trades$36016 min
4/29/2026, 10:15:06 PM4 trades$3170 min
11/6/2024, 7:36:17 AM1 trades$3080 min
6/6/2026, 7:21:33 AM3 trades$3000 min
10/10/2025, 6:52:10 AM4 trades$2596 min
7/8/2026, 7:59:13 AM2 trades$2160 min
7/11/2026, 10:52:35 PM2 trades$2050 min
3/22/2025, 10:32:49 AM7 trades$19314 min
6/25/2026, 2:13:11 PM14 trades$1805 min
6/11/2026, 1:27:04 PM4 trades$1730 min
10/10/2025, 6:34:48 AM2 trades$1651 min
7/9/2026, 6:05:35 PM2 trades$1600 min
6/17/2026, 7:48:10 PM6 trades$1580 min
10/10/2025, 6:22:00 AM1 trades$1570 min
1/8/2025, 10:39:57 PM1 trades$1500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
08-16
09-25
10-19
05-05
06-16
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.9 / M31.1 / H24