Polydata

@ToTheWindow

#5,09973

0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0

~170d· 222 markets · 7572 tradesVol: $1,460,1832026-08-01 08:04:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (94/199)8.6/20
3.10x (win $80,153 / loss $25,880)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.97915/15
Sortino 10.56210/10
$+0.3813 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 4270 (199 markets)0/10
57/113 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($12,027 / $56,202)9.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+33,040
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 35.8 entries/market
Whale
$142,331 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,417$33,677Vol: $1,449,929
SPORTS#1,811,347$-688Vol: $10,255

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32,990
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,460,183
Total Redeem
$143
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
4679B / 2893S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

Periods

#2
Today
$-88
Vol: $1,125
Week
$1,877
Vol: $50,198
Month
$-88
Vol: $1,125
All Time
$32,990
Vol: $1,460,183

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
94W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$33,040
Win Rate
47%
94W / 105L
Profit Factor
3.1x
Avg Win
$853
Avg Loss
$-259

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56,186 (1.7005412253812369% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$48,093
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5,387
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$2,706
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$2,509
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$2,017
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$1,685
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1,437
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1,416
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,390
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,332

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,720
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,718
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-1,437
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$-1,191
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$-945
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-898
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-787
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-752
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?$-722
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?$-582

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.103
Sortino
0.402
HHI
243
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.420
Kelly %
9.6%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
25.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 390s — normal for humanCV 5.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)20.7%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 10:05:42 AM2 trades$195,0000 min
6/4/2026, 2:45:48 AM21 trades$121,79316 min
6/4/2026, 3:46:21 AM5 trades$50,2001 min
6/7/2026, 9:17:45 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/7/2026, 11:03:55 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/5/2026, 4:21:03 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:55 PM29 trades$19,7767 min
6/4/2026, 3:17:12 AM2 trades$12,5000 min
6/5/2026, 5:04:48 PM2 trades$12,5000 min
5/6/2026, 9:12:54 AM10 trades$12,4395 min
7/31/2026, 10:03:20 AM29 trades$7,68217 min
6/5/2026, 8:16:01 PM22 trades$7,0690 min
4/23/2026, 10:44:28 PM180 trades$6,7879 min
6/15/2026, 10:39:37 AM28 trades$6,2480 min
4/24/2026, 1:29:32 PM221 trades$5,1958 min
7/31/2026, 9:58:33 PM28 trades$5,0146 min
6/7/2026, 7:23:04 PM16 trades$5,0095 min
6/4/2026, 3:11:06 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/7/2026, 7:13:21 PM7 trades$4,4601 min
5/15/2026, 6:23:37 PM1 trades$3,3770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
01-28
02-26
04-01
04-26
06-07
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.9 / M23.4 / H20.7