@ToadLord
#3,067,91980xa3df2a941dfd47005aaa4942e128ac37312b6f87
~187d· 149 markets · 9168 tradesVol: $7,873,8012026-08-02 01:32:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (49/147)1.7/20
0.32x (win $43,325 / loss $137,084)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1990/15
Sortino -5.0280/10
$-0.1801 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1262 (147 markets)6.2/10
16/77 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($93,760 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Whale
$520,484 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,984$-43,994Vol: $7,738,586
₿ CRYPTO#1,643,430$-1,958Vol: $53,713
💰 FINANCE#651,959$-849Vol: $30,277
🎭 CULTURE#18,197$125Vol: $25,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,838,145$-1,234Vol: $23,378
📈 ECONOMICS#32,220$16Vol: $1,294
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-48,206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,873,801
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
4942B / 4226S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~187d
Periods
#2Today
$131
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,904
Vol: $0
Month
$-497
Vol: $2,129
All Time
$-48,206
Vol: $7,873,801
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
49W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-48,031
Win Rate
33%
49W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$884
Avg Loss
$-1,399
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,496 (0.759834722857231% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$27,211
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$7,543
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,742
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1,126
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$799
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$376
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)$362
Top Losers
Iran strike on Israel before December?$-21,217
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-19,731
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-17,893
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$-11,894
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-8,494
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-7,712
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-6,855
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-5,429
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-5,422
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$-4,205
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.218
Sortino
-0.256
HHI
2157
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.1%
Top-5 markets
68.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.2m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 6.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
61.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)72.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)22.6%
Sessions
#124/14/2026, 10:49:00 PM67 trades$37,48014 min
4/16/2026, 12:40:30 AM16 trades$34,2570 min
4/7/2026, 11:36:47 PM62 trades$31,41312 min
4/14/2026, 8:37:06 PM20 trades$27,0620 min
4/28/2026, 8:54:02 PM15 trades$26,01210 min
4/17/2026, 8:29:28 AM20 trades$25,2461 min
5/26/2026, 12:02:35 AM36 trades$25,0972 min
4/10/2026, 7:25:05 PM50 trades$24,56021 min
4/15/2026, 12:12:16 AM9 trades$24,2971 min
4/13/2026, 10:42:29 AM38 trades$24,29510 min
6/19/2026, 11:19:14 PM42 trades$24,2472 min
4/2/2026, 6:43:53 AM98 trades$22,02129 min
5/23/2026, 12:23:49 AM35 trades$20,9274 min
4/17/2026, 2:43:38 AM17 trades$20,73611 min
4/27/2026, 4:08:36 AM32 trades$19,0390 min
4/7/2026, 11:31:21 PM5 trades$18,6580 min
4/16/2026, 6:36:54 PM10 trades$16,9540 min
5/1/2026, 12:41:06 PM9 trades$16,5000 min
4/5/2026, 4:58:09 AM2 trades$16,0760 min
5/25/2026, 1:51:46 AM34 trades$15,9381 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
12-20
01-27
02-17
03-13
04-17
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 61.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.7 / M4.7 / H22.6