Tombos21

@Tombos21

#3,094,18823

0xc385112c49e0c49ab66211a96ecd7985e3655039

~56d· 200 markets · 762 tradesVol: $144,3202026-10-01 02:22:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (98/199)9.6/20
0.67x (win $4,081 / loss $6,069)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0560/15
Sortino -3.3280/10
$-0.0915 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 141 (199 markets)10/10
20/46 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 302% of peak ($2,971 / $984)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,811$-1,802Vol: $82,869
⚽ SPORTS#1,844,970$-554Vol: $19,909
₿ CRYPTO#1,630,803$-493Vol: $18,709
🎭 CULTURE#47,475$21Vol: $7,372
📢 MENTIONS#170,196$-113Vol: $5,293
📈 ECONOMICS#83,207$2Vol: $4,355
💻 TECH#2,636$433Vol: $2,696
💰 FINANCE#8,757$351Vol: $1,875
🌤️ WEATHER#236,674$-7Vol: $140

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,191
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,320
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
585B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $17,352
All Time
$-2,191
Vol: $144,320

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
98W / 101L events
Realized PnL
$-2,115
Win Rate
49%
98W / 101L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $927 (0.43834716213980096% of PnL)

Top Winners

Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?$348
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$292
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$287
Pavel Durov released in August?$205
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$189
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?$150
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?$128
Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?$128
X banned in Brazil before October?$111
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$103

Top Losers

Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?$-582
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-537
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?$-344
Trump wins every swing state?$-324
Will $HAWK FDV be below $10,000,000 one day after launch?$-299
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-292
Will $HAWK FDV be $10,000,000-$20,000,000 one day after launch?$-213
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-195
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally?$-180
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-156

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 332s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)28.7%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 5:38:51 AM9 trades$6,6340 min
11/2/2024, 10:58:12 PM5 trades$8526 min
11/20/2024, 11:36:07 PM2 trades$7280 min
12/5/2024, 3:18:26 PM31 trades$70726 min
12/5/2024, 10:19:09 PM6 trades$6366 min
12/5/2024, 3:01:06 PM5 trades$5923 min
11/24/2024, 8:50:27 AM1 trades$5800 min
8/28/2024, 7:50:14 PM1 trades$5160 min
11/20/2024, 3:31:15 AM4 trades$5024 min
10/25/2024, 3:23:33 AM2 trades$4983 min
12/5/2024, 4:02:46 PM4 trades$4968 min
12/24/2024, 8:17:52 AM4 trades$4901 min
11/27/2024, 9:10:29 PM2 trades$4811 min
11/15/2024, 6:50:23 PM1 trades$4700 min
11/20/2024, 3:10:33 AM7 trades$46216 min
8/30/2024, 9:24:42 PM1 trades$4310 min
9/7/2024, 12:47:40 AM2 trades$4001 min
9/8/2024, 4:50:21 AM6 trades$3983 min
8/19/2024, 6:44:29 PM6 trades$3803 min
8/28/2024, 4:34:36 PM3 trades$3601 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
08-25
09-03
09-11
11-05
11-25
12-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 300 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48 / M23.2 / H28.7