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@Trivial-Player

#1,35690

0xbfd770b7ff07fb2ece41b0e7c593db65a84cf0bf

245d· 47686 markets · 2619 tradesVol: $21,384,1262026-06-26T14:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 29.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.90115/15
Sortino 3.38110/10
EV $+17.67710/10
HHI 6010/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Trivial-Player is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1356 globally by net PnL, with a net profit of $130,509.19 accumulated over 119 days. They have executed 2,619 trades across 1,208 markets, maintaining a high win rate of 88.0% and generating total trading volume exceeding $21 million. Their Smart Score of 90/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong trading skills and consistent profitability.

Trivial-Player’s strategy emphasizes high accuracy and consistency, as evidenced by a profit factor of 5.73 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.90, indicating a balanced risk-return profile. They appear to favor a broad range of markets rather than specializing in weather markets or relying on automated trading, given their semi-bot score and zero weather market exposure. Their timing suggests disciplined entries and exits, with no observed drawdown duration, implying effective risk management and quick recovery from losses.

The key strengths of Trivial-Player include their robust win rate, consistent equity trend, and ability to maintain stable portfolio value without significant drawdowns. However, their flat equity trend and 0% sell rate might indicate a conservative approach that could limit upside potential. Additionally, the semi-bot trading style suggests some reliance on automation, which could introduce systematic risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, Trivial-Player demonstrates strong, steady performance on Polymarket with manageable risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+130,509
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
54 wins in a row
Whale
$216,434
Consistent
73/84 days
High Roller
$1,819/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

2
SPORTS#686$99,822Vol: $12,004,341
🏛️ POLITICS#221,020$5Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$130,509
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,384,126
Total Redeem
$185,935
Portfolio
$13,708
Predictions
47686
total markets
Trades
2619B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1,819
Account Age
245d
since Oct 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-135
Vol: $36,067
Week
$15,223
Vol: $432,098
Month
$51,679
Vol: $2,104,010
All Time
$130,509
Vol: $21,384,126

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
280W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$612,607
Win Rate
88%
521W / 71L
Profit Factor
5.73x
Avg Win
$131
Avg Loss
$-168

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,912 (15.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tatiana Prozorova vs Heather Watson$3,105
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group$2,927
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Jil Teichmann$2,880
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 2 Winner$2,700
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm$2,595
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Gr$2,248
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones$1,800
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5$1,419
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki - Map 1 Win$1,297
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner$1,261

Top Losers

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-2,079
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5$-990
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - European Pro Le$-975
ITF Sapporo: Gaeul Jang vs Sara Yoshida$-968
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear To$-736
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner$-662
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm$-613
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner$-556
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$-549
ITF Wuning: Xirui Han vs Moerani Bouzige$-542

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.901
Sortino
3.381
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$17.677
Kelly %
80.3%
Half-Kelly
40.2%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.0
Active
Markets / Day
22.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 89s — typical for humanSize CV 2.94 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.89 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high22 markets/day — mass coverage665 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
673 entries
<=2
894 entries
<=5
1131 entries
<=10
1199 entries
<=20
1208 entries
<=50
1208 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)41.8%
High (>55c)54.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.2%

Other$47,943
Chicago$2,878
Dallas$2,595
Los Angeles$1,509
San Francisco$922
Taipei$708
Houston$305
Miami$163
Milan$0
Toronto$0
Chengdu$0
Seattle$-575

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
690

Single bracket

<=1
471 brackets
<=2
586 brackets
<=3
638 brackets
<=4
657 brackets
<=5
662 brackets
<=8
677 brackets
>8
13 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 1:46:04 AM1 trades$10 min
5/8/2026, 7:13:57 PM1 trades$10 min
5/12/2026, 4:58:55 AM1 trades$10 min
5/14/2026, 10:47:02 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 12:04:18 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 6:11:29 AM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2026, 8:10:02 AM1 trades$660 min
5/20/2026, 8:51:09 AM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2026, 9:07:33 AM2 trades$870 min
5/22/2026, 6:00:06 PM1 trades$110 min
5/22/2026, 8:22:53 PM1 trades$50 min
5/23/2026, 2:14:59 PM1 trades$10 min
5/23/2026, 4:20:36 PM1 trades$10 min
5/23/2026, 5:47:45 PM1 trades$10 min
5/24/2026, 3:13:10 PM1 trades$10 min
5/25/2026, 11:18:35 AM1 trades$10 min
5/25/2026, 6:54:56 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 9:27:31 AM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 12:56:45 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 1:32:46 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-02
04-18
05-02
05-18
06-11
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event