Polydata

@Trivial-Player

#1,31985

0xbfd770b7ff07fb2ece41b0e7c593db65a84cf0bf

248d· 48856 markets · 2858 tradesVol: $21,904,8092026-07-03T04:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 39%5/20
Profit Factor 16.11x15/15
Sharpe 0.90215/15
Sortino 2.60610/10
EV $+9.89010/10
HHI 3610/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Trivial-Player is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding a global rank of #1319 with a net PnL of $139,830.28. Over 126 days, they have executed 2,858 trades across 1,552 markets, accumulating a total trading volume of nearly $22 million. Their portfolio value stands at $24,880.31, reflecting consistent profitability and stability, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.90 and zero days of max drawdown duration.

Trivial-Player exhibits a low-risk, high-consistency trading style, demonstrated by an impressive win rate of 85.8% and a profit factor of 4.61. Their strategy appears focused on maintaining steady gains rather than aggressive speculation, with no participation in weather markets and a 0% sell rate, implying a strong buy-and-hold approach. The trader’s Smart Score of 85 and Bot Score of 65 suggest a hybrid method combining automated signals with manual decision-making, leading to a balanced and disciplined trading pattern.

The key strengths of Trivial-Player include exceptional consistency, risk management, and a proven ability to generate steady profits on Polymarket. However, the flat equity trend and semi-bot reliance may indicate limited upside during highly volatile market conditions. Additionally, the absence of selling activity could pose risks if market dynamics shift abruptly, potentially restricting flexibility in portfolio adjustments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+139,830
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
Whale
$299,949
Consistent
79/92 days
High Roller
$2,381/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

2
SPORTS#697$104,616Vol: $12,338,944
🏛️ POLITICS#222,367$5Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$139,830
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,904,809
Total Redeem
$260,262
Portfolio
$24,880
Predictions
48856
total markets
Trades
2858B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,381
Account Age
248d
since Oct 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,254
Vol: $15,476
Week
$3,330
Vol: $424,952
Month
$6,205
Vol: $192,304
All Time
$139,830
Vol: $21,904,809

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
297W / 396L events
Realized PnL
$630,284
Win Rate
86%
652W / 108L
Profit Factor
4.61x
Avg Win
$127
Avg Loss
$-166

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,357 (9.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner$2,285
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner$2,182
Birrell vs. Korneeva: Match O/U 23.5$1,890
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 1 Winner$1,872
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$1,815
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$1,799
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner$1,534
Spread: France (-2.5)$1,469
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winne$1,413
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)$1,328

Top Losers

Set 4 Winner: Fritz vs Kypson$-1,171
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-889
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$-861
Set 4 Winner: Minaur vs Burruchaga$-818
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South $-778
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-769
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner$-668
Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Shevchenko$-653
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro L$-635
ITF Getxo: Pedro Rodenas vs Pavlos Tsitsipas$-627

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.902
Sortino
2.606
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.890
Kelly %
78.2%
Half-Kelly
39.1%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.6
Very active
Markets / Day
28.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 135s — typical for humanSize CV 2.58 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.85 — human randomness52 trades/day — mass trading28 markets/day — mass coverage838 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
944 entries
<=2
1255 entries
<=5
1499 entries
<=10
1544 entries
<=20
1551 entries
<=50
1552 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)52.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 30.5%

Other$60,534
Toronto$972
Los Angeles$879
Chicago$783
Houston$491
Shanghai$462
Miami$304
Atlanta$157
Dallas$69
Tokyo$68
San Francisco$20
Milan$9
Taipei$6
Chengdu$4
Paris$0
Seattle$-70

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
1021

Single bracket

<=1
742 brackets
<=2
907 brackets
<=3
974 brackets
<=4
991 brackets
<=5
1002 brackets
<=8
1014 brackets
>8
7 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 7:13:57 PM1 trades$10 min
5/12/2026, 4:58:55 AM1 trades$10 min
5/22/2026, 6:00:06 PM1 trades$110 min
5/22/2026, 8:22:53 PM1 trades$50 min
5/23/2026, 2:14:59 PM1 trades$10 min
5/23/2026, 4:20:36 PM1 trades$10 min
5/23/2026, 5:47:45 PM1 trades$10 min
5/24/2026, 3:13:10 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 1:32:46 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 3:05:40 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 5:05:08 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 6:26:53 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 8:18:08 PM1 trades$10 min
5/27/2026, 9:43:51 AM1 trades$10 min
5/27/2026, 6:57:57 PM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2026, 9:20:20 AM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2026, 4:02:36 PM1 trades$10 min
5/29/2026, 9:05:18 PM1 trades$10 min
5/30/2026, 11:55:49 PM1 trades$10 min
6/1/2026, 11:47:37 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-05
04-24
05-11
05-26
06-24
07-05
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event