Polydata

@Trump2028

#61594

0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070

962d· 475 markets · 7781 tradesVol: $22,075,0802026-07-20T16:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 84%20/20
Profit Factor 14.26x15/15
Sharpe 0.5039/15
Sortino 191.80410/10
EV $+1.20610/10
HHI 14710/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trump2028 is a highly experienced and active trader on Polymarket, with nearly 800 days of activity and over 7,700 trades executed across 237 markets. Holding an elite Smart Score of 94/100, they rank #615 globally in PnL with a net profit of approximately $326,000 and a portfolio valued at $471,500. Their total trading volume exceeds $22 million, indicating a substantial presence and consistent engagement in the platform.

This trader shows a preference for diverse markets, though notably avoids weather-related markets entirely. Their win rate stands at 46.3%, and they maintain a conservative profit factor of 0.05, suggesting a strategy focused on steady returns rather than high volatility plays. Trump2028 employs a dynamic trading style characterized by frequent trades and a 31% sell rate, possibly leveraging dollar-cost averaging and sniper tactics, as reflected in their badges. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.50 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, with no recorded max drawdown duration, highlighting disciplined risk management.

Trump2028’s key strengths include strong consistency, a stable equity trend, and an ability to maintain profitability over a long period. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio may indicate limited upside potential and exposure to market fluctuations. While their human-like, fast interface usage enables quick decision-making, it also requires vigilance to avoid impulsive trades. Overall, Trump2028 exemplifies a steady and strategic Polymarket trader with proven endurance and risk control.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+326,331
DCA Master
avg 23.7 entries/market
Win Streak
40 wins in a row
Whale
$11,611,912
Consistent
88/90 days
High Roller
$14,755/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#370$140,313Vol: $9,971,927
📈 ECONOMICS#97$70,890Vol: $4,944,687
CRYPTO#409$85,356Vol: $4,843,196
🎭 CULTURE#1,505$5,093Vol: $910,571
SPORTS#8,257$5,589Vol: $908,283
💰 FINANCE#213$21,007Vol: $276,902
💻 TECH#1,065$1,411Vol: $215,967
📢 MENTIONS#171,691$-3,329Vol: $3,550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$326,331
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,075,080
Total Redeem
$1,163,199
Portfolio
$471,502
Predictions
475
total markets
Trades
5335B / 2446S
Daily Volume
$14,755
Account Age
962d
since Dec 1, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,887
Vol: $5,735
Week
$-6,887
Vol: $6,235
Month
$10,614
Vol: $1,917,196
All Time
$326,331
Vol: $22,075,080

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
184W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$644,823
Win Rate
46%
95W / 110L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$3,038
Avg Loss
$-56,964

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$54,006
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$33,593
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$31,838
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$28,961
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22,010
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$19,952
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$11,959
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$10,931
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$8,493
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$6,584

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$-531,456
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-276,024
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-263,707
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-260,977
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-243,599
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas$-228,004
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential elect$-225,954
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-221,593
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-210,377
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$-203,224

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.503
Sortino
191.804
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.206
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
16.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — typical for humanSize CV 4.75 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.94 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active319 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
42 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
94 entries
<=10
124 entries
<=20
157 entries
<=50
193 entries
>50
32 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.7%

Los Angeles$323
Warsh$34
New York City$-366,620
Other$-5,611,170

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
159

Single bracket

<=1
123 brackets
<=2
144 brackets
<=3
149 brackets
<=4
154 brackets
<=5
155 brackets
<=8
158 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2025, 8:50:26 PM2 trades$9,5092 min
1/20/2025, 9:24:20 PM2 trades$37,9414 min
1/20/2025, 10:30:26 PM1 trades$60 min
1/20/2025, 10:54:08 PM1 trades$60 min
1/21/2025, 12:23:36 AM2 trades$5784 min
1/21/2025, 12:44:38 AM1 trades$9350 min
1/21/2025, 12:52:26 AM1 trades$70 min
1/21/2025, 1:05:32 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2025, 1:21:10 AM1 trades$4210 min
1/21/2025, 1:37:56 AM1 trades$1,0070 min
1/21/2025, 1:58:50 AM1 trades$20 min
1/21/2025, 3:52:36 AM5 trades$8,1885 min
1/21/2025, 4:10:04 AM2 trades$1,1883 min
1/21/2025, 4:22:28 AM1 trades$120 min
1/21/2025, 4:49:38 AM1 trades$6140 min
1/21/2025, 5:52:21 AM2 trades$3314 min
1/21/2025, 6:10:55 AM1 trades$6870 min
1/21/2025, 6:16:29 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2025, 6:22:34 AM1 trades$2930 min
1/21/2025, 6:51:49 AM4 trades$4,36510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-31
06-30
11-15
03-01
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event