Polydata

@Trump2028

#57594

0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070

915d· 412 markets · 9608 tradesVol: $17,391,4112026-06-01T09:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 16.24x15/15
Sharpe 0.4749/15
Sortino 9.78910/10
EV $+1.16510/10
HHI 15610/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trump2028 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #575 globally with an elite Smart Score of 94/100. Over 787 days, they have executed 9,608 trades across 251 markets, generating a net profit of $284,743.86 on a total volume exceeding $17 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at $445,401, reflecting consistent engagement and moderate growth.

Trump2028’s trading style is characterized by a balanced risk approach with a win rate just under 50% and a low profit factor of 0.07, indicating frequent small gains and occasional losses. They slightly favor selling positions, with 52% of trades being sells, and exhibit no involvement in weather markets. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.47 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management. The trader’s badges, including Sniper and DCA Master, imply a focus on precise entries and dollar-cost averaging strategies.

Strengths for Trump2028 include their consistent activity, disciplined risk controls, and an equity trend that remains stable without major drawdowns. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside per trade, which could constrain long-term growth. Additionally, despite a high Smart Score, their near 50% win rate means careful trade selection remains crucial to maintain profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+284,744
DCA Master
avg 18.8 entries/market
Win Streak
66 wins in a row
Whale
$10,170,167
Consistent
81/84 days
High Roller
$12,923/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#354$126,560Vol: $7,960,077
CRYPTO#354$84,637Vol: $4,544,615
📈 ECONOMICS#114$49,975Vol: $3,543,988
🎭 CULTURE#1,912$3,616Vol: $779,147
💰 FINANCE#171$21,007Vol: $276,902
💻 TECH#946$1,411Vol: $215,967
SPORTS#37,782$866Vol: $67,163
📢 MENTIONS#166,557$-3,329Vol: $3,550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$284,744
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,391,411
Total Redeem
$2,422,508
Portfolio
$445,401
Predictions
412
total markets
Trades
4637B / 4971S
Daily Volume
$12,923
Account Age
915d
since Dec 1, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$963
Vol: $231,179
Week
$963
Vol: $462,209
Month
$963
Vol: $231,179
All Time
$284,744
Vol: $17,391,411

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
183W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$566,237
Win Rate
49%
109W / 112L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$3,260
Avg Loss
$-42,826

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$100,990
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$54,006
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$33,593
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$23,109
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?$21,436
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$14,228
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$11,959
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$10,931
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$8,493
Seahawks vs. Patriots$6,137

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$-531,456
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-263,707
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-243,599
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-212,773
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-210,377
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$-203,224
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-177,997
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia aft$-151,948
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral elec$-150,750
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$-148,235

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.474
Sortino
9.789
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.9m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — typical for humanSize CV 4.63 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness19 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
50 entries
<=2
69 entries
<=5
110 entries
<=10
146 entries
<=20
186 entries
<=50
224 entries
>50
22 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.4%

Warsh$35
New York City$-372,666
Other$-4,068,650

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
165

Single bracket

<=1
125 brackets
<=2
149 brackets
<=3
152 brackets
<=4
158 brackets
<=5
162 brackets
<=8
164 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2025, 2:55:00 PM1 trades$1,3020 min
1/20/2025, 8:50:26 PM2 trades$9,5092 min
1/20/2025, 8:59:46 PM3 trades$12,1983 min
1/20/2025, 9:24:20 PM2 trades$37,9414 min
1/20/2025, 10:30:26 PM1 trades$60 min
1/20/2025, 10:48:22 PM1 trades$5420 min
1/20/2025, 10:54:08 PM1 trades$60 min
1/21/2025, 12:23:36 AM2 trades$5784 min
1/21/2025, 12:44:38 AM1 trades$9350 min
1/21/2025, 12:52:26 AM1 trades$70 min
1/21/2025, 1:05:32 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2025, 1:21:10 AM1 trades$4210 min
1/21/2025, 1:37:56 AM1 trades$1,0070 min
1/21/2025, 1:58:50 AM1 trades$20 min
1/21/2025, 3:52:36 AM6 trades$8,3815 min
1/21/2025, 4:10:04 AM2 trades$1,1883 min
1/21/2025, 4:22:28 AM1 trades$120 min
1/21/2025, 4:48:05 AM2 trades$6162 min
1/21/2025, 5:21:36 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2025, 5:52:21 AM2 trades$3314 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-19
06-18
10-29
02-01
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event