@Tsoula

#2,316,22691

0x15a1b69d4f48c017af19a49b6b8e9b97d6e55ef3

~113d· 3896 markets · 19971 tradesVol: $358,7262026-10-08 02:55:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (3496/3896)20/20
2.06x (win $4,041 / loss $1,958)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.39315/15
Sortino 18.37410/10
$+0.0186 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 22 (3896 markets)10/10
88/110 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($171 / $2,119)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+363
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Whale
$111,763 invested
Consistent
88/110 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#19,664$13Vol: $358,425
🎭 CULTURE#770,238$-50Vol: $57
🏛️ POLITICS#361,600$1Vol: $21
⚽ SPORTS#1,065,276$-2Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$358,726
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3896
total markets
Trades
9739B / 10232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $1,696
Week
$-241
Vol: $13,067
Month
$-48
Vol: $47,964
All Time
$-38
Vol: $358,726

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
3496W / 400L events
Realized PnL
$363
Win Rate
90%
3496W / 400L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.4144370276383295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?$54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9?$51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 13?$45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 10?$43
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 28?$40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?$39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 16?$38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?$37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7?$37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 6?$36

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 11?$-127
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?$-108
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?$-107
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18?$-74
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 2?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 17?$-50
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 16?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.437
Sortino
0.578
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
128.0
Very active
Markets / Day
25.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.2m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
51.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock128 trades/day — automation25 markets/day — mass coverage38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)98.7%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 5:53:26 PM149 trades$1,07840 min
5/8/2026, 6:04:36 AM106 trades$1,04530 min
5/1/2026, 11:04:44 AM71 trades$1,02511 min
5/11/2026, 12:24:50 PM44 trades$1,01213 min
4/29/2026, 6:41:12 AM58 trades$95710 min
5/5/2026, 6:16:16 AM84 trades$90521 min
6/8/2026, 12:36:51 PM121 trades$88615 min
5/3/2026, 10:43:22 AM41 trades$85114 min
5/5/2026, 11:54:06 AM52 trades$83211 min
5/13/2026, 5:48:36 AM63 trades$68116 min
6/13/2026, 8:27:28 AM191 trades$65131 min
6/24/2026, 10:23:02 AM66 trades$6243 min
5/13/2026, 11:28:48 AM51 trades$61815 min
6/15/2026, 12:53:54 PM75 trades$61419 min
5/16/2026, 1:01:03 PM50 trades$6098 min
5/12/2026, 10:02:19 PM46 trades$58821 min
5/12/2026, 8:40:00 AM21 trades$5874 min
7/9/2026, 6:03:37 AM125 trades$56611 min
5/7/2026, 10:36:53 AM51 trades$56020 min
4/2/2026, 8:06:31 AM63 trades$55638 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-02
05-08
06-08
06-26
07-22
08-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M1.1 / H98.7