@UltraMage4174

#2,527,24810

0x58b5a1e2b93afef138b8ac64cc47e969cc3067fc

~151d· 266 markets · 2931 tradesVol: $128,6762026-08-26 09:11:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (37/175)0/20
0.56x (win $402 / loss $717)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9450/15
Sortino -0.9620/10
$-0.0036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 110 (175 markets)10/10
24/94 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 4615% of peak ($646 / $14)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$86,922 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,599,030$-49Vol: $76,133
🏛️ POLITICS#1,395,125$-22Vol: $28,471
🎭 CULTURE#639,528$-4Vol: $8,235
CRYPTO#1,071,321$-6Vol: $7,414
📈 ECONOMICS#538,322$-2Vol: $6,155
💰 FINANCE#474,178$-1Vol: $1,311
💻 TECH#197,575$-1Vol: $957

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-85
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
266
total markets
Trades
1367B / 1564S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~151d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-85
Vol: $128,676

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
37W / 138L events
Realized PnL
$-85
Win Rate
21%
37W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $152 (1.7838630233376336% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13

Top Losers

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-646
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$-5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$-2
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-2
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6356s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)86%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 8:22:05 PM6 trades$2760 min
3/16/2026, 1:45:29 PM2 trades$2520 min
3/8/2026, 2:16:45 PM2 trades$2420 min
2/22/2026, 6:44:20 PM2 trades$2380 min
3/25/2026, 1:03:33 PM2 trades$2360 min
4/11/2026, 8:50:25 AM4 trades$2350 min
4/20/2026, 7:00:42 PM5 trades$2350 min
2/25/2026, 4:58:16 PM2 trades$2300 min
4/6/2026, 3:19:39 PM5 trades$2280 min
4/2/2026, 6:28:09 AM2 trades$2230 min
4/1/2026, 5:52:45 PM4 trades$2220 min
4/3/2026, 6:07:17 AM2 trades$2210 min
4/3/2026, 1:08:29 PM2 trades$2210 min
4/3/2026, 6:14:09 PM2 trades$2200 min
4/3/2026, 6:56:25 PM2 trades$2200 min
4/6/2026, 5:27:53 PM3 trades$2140 min
4/8/2026, 6:53:05 PM3 trades$2100 min
4/2/2026, 11:09:47 AM7 trades$2090 min
4/9/2026, 11:17:43 AM5 trades$2090 min
4/11/2026, 1:53:47 PM2 trades$2070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-11
02-27
04-02
04-19
05-10
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M0.1 / H86