Underfitted

@Underfitted

#2,690,37410

0x2fddeea794d903d81627068a4967c5e9aad8dd27

~12d· 52 markets · 228 tradesVol: $21,8322026-08-26 09:17:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (2/35)0/20
0.35x (win $53 / loss $150)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7000/15
Sortino -8.2580/10
$-0.0829 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 426 (35 markets)10/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($142 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,562,051$-37Vol: $14,244
🏛️ POLITICS#1,462,552$-45Vol: $2,384
CRYPTO#1,264,342$-19Vol: $2,120
🎭 CULTURE#745,210$-26Vol: $1,554
💻 TECH#238,482$-16Vol: $775
💰 FINANCE#541,246$-4Vol: $460
📈 ECONOMICS#536,888$-2Vol: $250
🌤️ WEATHER#235,698$-6Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,832
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
130B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-93
Vol: $4,345
All Time
$-155
Vol: $21,832

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
2W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-84
Win Rate
6%
2W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (0.6308772765147006% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$8

Top Losers

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$-10
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$-5
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-5
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$-4
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$-4
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.377
Sortino
-0.537
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
32.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.2m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 1.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.1%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)29.2%

Sessions

#12
1/7/2026, 6:03:45 PM75 trades$1,19480 min
1/7/2026, 5:32:17 PM10 trades$26918 min
10/29/2025, 11:40:47 PM6 trades$14712 min
10/29/2025, 11:26:47 PM3 trades$664 min
7/27/2026, 3:42:09 PM25 trades$620 min
8/10/2026, 10:04:46 AM9 trades$564 min
8/9/2026, 1:16:48 PM2 trades$482 min
10/30/2025, 12:18:51 AM2 trades$470 min
1/7/2026, 4:54:15 PM2 trades$474 min
8/11/2026, 11:08:28 PM22 trades$450 min
7/26/2026, 10:33:30 PM11 trades$294 min
8/10/2026, 11:18:13 AM2 trades$280 min
1/7/2026, 5:06:17 PM1 trades$250 min
8/11/2026, 10:46:31 PM4 trades$220 min
10/29/2025, 11:12:39 PM1 trades$220 min
8/8/2026, 9:09:18 AM4 trades$220 min
7/27/2026, 3:25:37 PM8 trades$210 min
7/27/2026, 4:08:49 PM8 trades$200 min
8/11/2026, 10:02:55 PM2 trades$200 min
8/11/2026, 10:28:27 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
10-30
01-07
07-26
07-27
07-28
08-09
08-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.1 / M27.7 / H29.2