Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@United-Upward

#30331

0xe5241830e8876c115d7dc8311ad9f43d85fdd34f

247d· 965 markets · 5934 tradesVol: $12,213,0832026-06-05T21:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
HHI 3810/10
Profit Days 32%1/10

Summary

United-Upward is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #303 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $514,290.79. Over 227 days, they completed 5,934 trades across 464 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $12 million. Despite a considerable trading volume, United-Upward’s Smart Score is 31/100, reflecting below-average efficiency, and their portfolio currently holds no open positions.

United-Upward’s trading style appears to be high-frequency with a semi-automated approach, as indicated by a bot score of 40/100. They show a preference for contrarian strategies, supported by badges such as “Contrarian” and “Diamond Hands,” and maintain an extremely low sell percentage at 1%, suggesting a buy-and-hold bias. Their win rate of 40.8% combined with a profit factor of 0.30 indicates frequent losses but potentially large gains on winning trades. United-Upward’s Sharpe ratio of -0.42 points to a risk profile that may include volatile or poorly balanced positions.

The main strength of United-Upward lies in their consistent upward equity trend and a notable net profit, reflecting effective capital growth over time. However, potential concerns include the negative Sharpe ratio and below-average Smart Score, which hint at risk management issues and inefficiencies. The low win rate and profit factor also suggest that while profitable overall, United-Upward’s approach may involve substantial drawdowns or exposure to high-risk outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+514,291
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
109 wins in a row
Whale
$2,748,232
High Roller
$12,107/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#172$514,291Vol: $12,213,083

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$514,291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,213,083
Total Redeem
$870,651
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
965
total markets
Trades
5864B / 70S
Daily Volume
$12,107
Account Age
247d
since Oct 22, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-4
Vol: $91,358
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$514,291
Vol: $12,213,083

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$2,450,420
Win Rate
41%
126W / 183L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$3,990
Avg Loss
$-9,120

Top Winners

Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27?$24,319
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?$22,931
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$21,000
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$20,475
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$19,500
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?$19,040
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Mai$18,300
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$14,695
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic$13,285
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?$12,091

Top Losers

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweigh$-18,024
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Straww$-17,400
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Ma$-17,335
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight,$-16,275
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweig$-16,150
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweigh$-15,592
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$-15,264
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$-15,200
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main $-15,134
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?$-15,065

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.419
Sortino
-0.470
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.494
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
3.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.2m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastSize CV 3.75 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.35 — human randomness27 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
157 entries
<=2
202 entries
<=5
280 entries
<=10
324 entries
<=20
373 entries
<=50
435 entries
>50
29 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)56.3%
High (>55c)29.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 94.7%

Madrid$15,636
Los Angeles$4,914
Toronto$328
Beijing$80
Chicago$13
New York City$0
São Paulo$0
Shanghai$0
Wuhan$0
Houston$0
Seattle$0
Miami$-601
Atlanta$-10,746
Paris$-13,814
Milan$-17,701
Other$-1,144,431

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
463

Single bracket

<=1
462 brackets
<=2
463 brackets
<=3
463 brackets
<=4
463 brackets
<=5
463 brackets
<=8
463 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/22/2025, 8:01:48 PM1 trades$50 min
10/22/2025, 8:35:18 PM2 trades$4,0001 min
10/22/2025, 8:44:06 PM1 trades$3,7400 min
10/24/2025, 7:47:38 PM1 trades$5,3130 min
10/29/2025, 10:36:03 PM1 trades$7,0000 min
11/5/2025, 1:08:09 AM1 trades$6,2990 min
11/6/2025, 2:51:37 AM1 trades$8,9990 min
11/6/2025, 10:11:13 PM1 trades$9,9950 min
11/8/2025, 12:40:01 AM1 trades$4,5000 min
11/9/2025, 12:42:51 AM1 trades$9,0000 min
11/12/2025, 11:56:36 PM1 trades$7,4950 min
11/16/2025, 3:53:45 AM1 trades$8,9990 min
11/20/2025, 5:24:29 PM2 trades$7,0551 min
11/23/2025, 5:55:37 PM1 trades$7,9950 min
11/25/2025, 12:49:17 AM1 trades$6,2840 min
11/30/2025, 12:44:59 AM1 trades$3,9950 min
12/1/2025, 1:01:06 AM1 trades$8,4950 min
12/2/2025, 12:11:16 AM50 trades$3,33017 min
12/2/2025, 12:33:02 AM1 trades$1,8380 min
12/2/2025, 1:57:50 AM1 trades$2,9190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
01-04
02-26
03-19
04-15
05-13
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event