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@Unused-Villa

#10,41183

0x18977e6637b42baa759d3291ca4d16c95171051c

88d· 13 markets · 170 tradesVol: $92,2822026-06-27T07:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 1365.74x15/15
Sharpe 0.4368/15
Sortino 1915997.86710/10
EV $+1924.93510/10
HHI 35100/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Unused-Villa is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL rank of #10411 with a net profit of $13,411.99 over 366 days. They have executed 170 trades across 13 different markets, generating a total volume of $92,282. Their Smart Score of 83/100 indicates very good trading performance, supported by a high win rate of 91.7% and an exceptional profit factor of 3123.39, although their Sharpe ratio of 0.44 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Unused-Villa appears to favor selective and high-conviction bets, given their sniper badge and low sell percentage of 29%. They avoid weather markets entirely and show a contrarian approach combined with dollar-cost averaging, which is consistent with their upward equity trend. Their human, manual trading style is reflected in a low bot score of 15/100, indicating a preference for hands-on decision-making rather than automated strategies.

Unused-Villa’s strengths lie in their high win rate, strong profit factor, and consistent equity growth without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and zero portfolio value at present could raise concerns about capital allocation or withdrawal timing. Overall, Unused-Villa demonstrates disciplined, low-risk trading on Polymarket but may need to optimize risk-adjusted performance for sustained long-term success.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+13,412
Lottery Player
42% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 9.3 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Consistent
6/7 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#3,454$13,019Vol: $90,555
🏛️ POLITICS#30,650$393Vol: $1,727

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,282
Total Redeem
$10,817
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
121B / 49S
Daily Volume
$41
Account Age
88d
since Apr 4, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
83%
5W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$13,419
Win Rate
92%
11W / 1L
Profit Factor
3123.39x
Avg Win
$812
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,358 (82.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$4,086
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?$2,107
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1,165
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$860
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$266
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$150
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$144
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$71
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$24

Top Losers

Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.436
Sortino
inf
HHI
3510
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1924.935
Kelly %
91.5%
Half-Kelly
45.7%
Top-1 market
51.8%
Top-5 markets
95.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1166s — typical for humanSize CV 1.73 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.3
Active DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
8 entries
<=5
10 entries
<=10
10 entries
<=20
11 entries
<=50
12 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)42.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.9%

Other$8,930

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
6

Moderate coverage

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
4 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
6 brackets
<=5
6 brackets
<=8
6 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 10:56:09 AM1 trades$440 min
4/4/2026, 11:03:37 AM2 trades$2521 min
4/4/2026, 11:20:01 AM6 trades$54211 min
4/4/2026, 11:42:07 AM1 trades$300 min
4/4/2026, 12:02:07 PM2 trades$8020 min
4/4/2026, 4:59:47 PM1 trades$330 min
4/4/2026, 5:10:21 PM1 trades$1550 min
4/4/2026, 6:07:23 PM1 trades$220 min
4/4/2026, 10:44:07 PM2 trades$20 min
4/5/2026, 2:52:35 AM1 trades$10 min
4/5/2026, 3:00:55 AM1 trades$1430 min
4/5/2026, 5:16:03 AM1 trades$1800 min
4/5/2026, 8:13:59 AM1 trades$360 min
4/5/2026, 8:51:15 AM1 trades$260 min
4/5/2026, 9:50:01 AM3 trades$4121 min
4/5/2026, 12:35:27 PM1 trades$300 min
4/5/2026, 1:18:07 PM1 trades$20 min
4/5/2026, 2:12:43 PM2 trades$232 min
4/5/2026, 2:30:31 PM1 trades$50 min
4/5/2026, 2:36:05 PM1 trades$4050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
04-04
04-06
04-30
06-30
07-01
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event