Polydata

@Unwieldy-Billing

#42093

0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e

283d· 343 markets · 35687 tradesVol: $113,761,3192026-07-02T17:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 4453036.92x15/15
Sharpe 0.4338/15
Sortino 27060756.76710/10
EV $+10.86910/10
HHI 21410/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Unwieldy-Billing is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #420 globally by net profit. With a net PnL of $438,656.58 and over $113 million in total trading volume across 35,687 trades, they have maintained consistent engagement over 457 days. Their portfolio currently holds $179,349.67, and they have earned an elite Smart Score of 93/100, reflecting strong overall performance despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.43.

The trading style of Unwieldy-Billing combines a semi-automated approach, as indicated by a bot score of 60/100, with manual decision-making. They have traded 237 different markets but show no activity in weather markets, suggesting a focus on other event types. Their win rate of 39.1% and profit factor of 0.42 indicate a strategy that accepts frequent losses but leverages winning trades to grow equity steadily. Their sell percentage of 39% points to a balanced exit strategy, and their badges like Sniper and Consistent highlight precision and reliability in timing.

Unwieldy-Billing’s strengths lie in their large trading volume, consistent upward equity trend, and ability to maintain an active presence without prolonged drawdowns. However, their relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest exposure to volatility and risk. The combination of bot and manual trading could introduce complexity but also adaptability. Overall, Unwieldy-Billing demonstrates robust performance on Polymarket, though traders should be aware of the inherent risks in their strategy.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+438,657
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$28,868,787
Consistent
65/65 days
High Roller
$63,170/day

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#170$301,052Vol: $86,117,507
CRYPTO#5,406$8,986Vol: $15,393,107
📈 ECONOMICS#144$44,093Vol: $6,639,669
🎭 CULTURE#80$75,021Vol: $2,930,044
📢 MENTIONS#235$8,076Vol: $1,421,879
💰 FINANCE#641,020$-1,745Vol: $662,723
💻 TECH#557$2,972Vol: $396,390

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$438,657
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,761,319
Total Redeem
$220,002
Portfolio
$179,350
Predictions
343
total markets
Trades
21712B / 13975S
Daily Volume
$63,170
Account Age
283d
since Sep 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$20,025
Vol: $5,048
Week
$17,097
Vol: $308,562
Month
$20,079
Vol: $15,788
All Time
$438,657
Vol: $113,761,319

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
177W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$1,741,431
Win Rate
39%
91W / 142L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$48,814
Avg Loss
$-75,282

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$1,021,093
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$641,024
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$402,345
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$279,850
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$203,482
Maduro out in 2025?$184,344
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$181,230
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$159,499
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$128,257
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$127,537

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-550,497
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$-545,913
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-410,042
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-393,319
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?$-383,678
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-339,496
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?$-320,445
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-284,248
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-263,460
Will Trump dance today?$-263,113

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.433
Sortino
inf
HHI
214
Diversified
EV per $1
$10.869
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
127.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.2m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 5.02 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness127 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
92
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
25 entries
<=5
45 entries
<=10
69 entries
<=20
97 entries
<=50
142 entries
>50
94 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)72.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 64.8%

New York City$129,453
Seoul$43,099
Gaza$-114,670
Other$-6,305,791

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
177

Single bracket

<=1
137 brackets
<=2
166 brackets
<=3
171 brackets
<=4
175 brackets
<=5
176 brackets
<=8
177 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/25/2025, 11:13:05 AM1 trades$530 min
9/25/2025, 6:02:40 PM1 trades$9940 min
9/25/2025, 6:21:26 PM1 trades$2670 min
9/25/2025, 7:13:03 PM1 trades$4050 min
9/25/2025, 9:36:01 PM1 trades$240 min
9/25/2025, 11:17:25 PM2 trades$8,1290 min
9/25/2025, 11:23:07 PM1 trades$7340 min
9/25/2025, 11:33:23 PM1 trades$9340 min
9/25/2025, 11:58:07 PM2 trades$1,6052 min
9/26/2025, 1:22:29 AM1 trades$1540 min
9/26/2025, 1:33:11 AM1 trades$550 min
9/26/2025, 1:59:49 AM2 trades$404 min
9/26/2025, 6:50:05 AM1 trades$1710 min
9/26/2025, 7:51:18 AM1 trades$1,1200 min
9/26/2025, 8:00:14 AM1 trades$620 min
9/26/2025, 9:38:45 AM1 trades$1100 min
9/26/2025, 11:05:35 AM1 trades$3010 min
9/26/2025, 12:33:55 PM1 trades$5000 min
9/26/2025, 3:08:25 PM1 trades$2,0060 min
9/26/2025, 3:20:39 PM1 trades$2,1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-10
01-15
03-01
04-19
05-31
08-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 92/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event