@Urwelcom

#53,25574

0x78bcf277edcf25c122622c18415f017088a72585

~192d· 655 markets · 4181 tradesVol: $2,064,9972026-10-08 05:01:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (431/647)18.3/20
1.22x (win $118,731 / loss $97,542)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.44115/15
Sortino 2.86010/10
$+0.0487 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 116 (647 markets)10/10
92/165 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($10,781 / $27,884)6.3/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+1,936
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$434,794 invested
High Roller
$1,109/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#2,840$2,275Vol: $1,110,334
🏛️ POLITICS#1,643,805$-2,358Vol: $350,163
⚽ SPORTS#16,286$2,717Vol: $262,756
₿ CRYPTO#1,717,757$-3,013Vol: $131,527
📈 ECONOMICS#6,721$282Vol: $87,486
💻 TECH#618$3,069Vol: $65,864
📢 MENTIONS#2,657$386Vol: $25,764
💰 FINANCE#664,770$-1,027Vol: $24,242
🌤️ WEATHER#280,533$-56Vol: $5,239

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,936
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,064,997
Total Redeem
$4,450
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
655
total markets
Trades
2487B / 1694S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,192
Vol: $10,732
Month
$-724
Vol: $22,875
All Time
$1,936
Vol: $2,064,997

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
430W / 214L events
Realized PnL
$1,936
Win Rate
67%
430W / 214L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$275
Avg Loss
$-460

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,534 (11.1250458511787% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16,434
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3,000
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$2,100
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2,081
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1,807
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,797
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1,742
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1,562
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1,308
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1,274

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$-5,470
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,745
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$-3,688
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-3,262
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$-2,961
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-2,866
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-2,034
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$-1,810
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-1,520
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$-1,471

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.075
Sortino
0.126
HHI
164
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.8m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)45.4%

Sessions

#12
9/23/2025, 1:12:44 PM1 trades$7,7910 min
9/11/2025, 5:46:41 PM2 trades$7,2001 min
1/12/2026, 9:27:31 PM1 trades$5,7400 min
12/22/2025, 9:12:17 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
9/14/2025, 2:22:50 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
10/19/2025, 8:50:33 PM7 trades$4,9558 min
10/28/2025, 2:48:53 PM11 trades$4,88620 min
6/26/2026, 12:33:26 PM1 trades$4,7550 min
1/28/2026, 10:40:57 AM4 trades$4,5735 min
6/12/2026, 8:19:16 AM16 trades$4,5638 min
9/13/2025, 7:43:57 AM1 trades$4,0380 min
2/11/2026, 9:19:41 PM3 trades$3,9607 min
12/17/2025, 11:28:46 AM8 trades$3,73912 min
6/12/2026, 8:33:42 AM18 trades$3,67819 min
5/13/2026, 8:04:07 AM2 trades$3,6000 min
1/28/2026, 9:28:58 PM10 trades$3,4651 min
6/12/2026, 8:05:43 AM13 trades$3,4387 min
10/25/2025, 2:12:43 AM1 trades$3,3250 min
12/28/2025, 10:00:53 PM6 trades$3,26013 min
11/12/2025, 8:16:26 PM60 trades$3,25030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
10-24
12-10
01-14
02-18
04-12
09-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 137 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.7 / M34.9 / H45.4