Polydata

@VPenguin

#119100

0xfbf3d501e88815464642d0e913f15379c3eeb218

651d· 1959 markets · 12142 tradesVol: $89,971,696 @Vlad_kori2026-07-08T12:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 119.28x15/15
Sharpe 0.81115/15
Sortino 4.73410/10
EV $+118.23410/10
HHI 7110/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

VPenguin is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #119 on the global PnL leaderboard with an impressive net profit of over $1.34 million. Over 185 days, they have executed more than 12,000 trades across 368 markets, generating nearly $90 million in total volume. Their elite Smart Score of 100/100 underscores consistent performance, reflected in a strong win rate of 76.4% and a profit factor above 5. Despite this, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating a fully realized profit or closed positions.

The trading style of VPenguin is characterized by a semi-automated approach, as suggested by a Bot Score of 55/100, combining bot precision with manual oversight. They favor a low turnover strategy, selling only 8% of positions, and show no involvement in weather markets. VPenguin’s badges, including Sniper and Contrarian, suggest a preference for selective, high-conviction trades with a contrarian edge. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.81 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their equity trend remains stable with minimal drawdown duration, reflecting disciplined timing and risk management.

VPenguin’s main strengths lie in their high win rate and exceptional profit factor, supported by a disciplined, low-drawdown approach that balances automation and manual control. However, the current flat equity trend and zero portfolio value could signal a cautious stance or a pause in active exposure. The moderate Sharpe ratio and semi-bot strategy may introduce some vulnerability to market volatility and automation errors. Overall, VPenguin demonstrates strong, consistent performance with careful risk controls on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+1,340,494
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
DCA Master
avg 30.2 entries/market
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Whale
$10,635,723
Consistent
106/109 days
High Roller
$57,490/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
SPORTS#78$1,324,273Vol: $54,990,227
CRYPTO#1,566,020$-784Vol: $279,777
📢 MENTIONS#4,282$173Vol: $26,863
🏛️ POLITICS#1,534,851$-184Vol: $5,940
📈 ECONOMICS#20,645$34Vol: $821
🎭 CULTURE#25,939$67Vol: $265

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,340,494
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,971,696
Total Redeem
$543,222
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1959
total markets
Trades
11130B / 1012S
Daily Volume
$57,490
Account Age
651d
since Sep 25, 2024

Periods

#2
Week
$20,762
Vol: $147,687
Month
$308,671
Vol: $1,980,684
All Time
$1,340,494
Vol: $89,971,696

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
228W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$13,274,169
Win Rate
76%
198W / 61L
Profit Factor
5.21x
Avg Win
$55,670
Avg Loss
$-34,715

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $950,870 (10.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$349,931
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$317,925
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$283,013
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?$232,741
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$194,896
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?$189,493
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$182,046
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?$174,884
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$170,265
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$169,711

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Cavaliers$-160,829
Lakers vs. Thunder$-160,724
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$-132,323
Knicks vs. Cavaliers$-101,005
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?$-91,251
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$-91,142
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, $-88,450
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)$-87,321
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$-78,634
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Mai$-77,695

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.811
Sortino
4.734
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$118.234
Kelly %
62.5%
Half-Kelly
31.2%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
62% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 5.55 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.43 — human randomness72 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
70 entries
<=2
97 entries
<=5
134 entries
<=10
173 entries
<=20
226 entries
<=50
292 entries
>50
76 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)76.6%
High (>55c)16.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 12.4%

Other$8,556,514
Madrid$122,103
Milan$90,920
Paris$81,533
Houston$25,683
Lucknow$15,409
Atlanta$13,545
Chicago$12,993
Miami$-13,625

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
309

Single bracket

<=1
269 brackets
<=2
297 brackets
<=3
304 brackets
<=4
307 brackets
<=5
309 brackets
<=8
309 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 7:20:54 PM1 trades$7570 min
1/20/2026, 11:36:56 PM1 trades$21,0990 min
1/22/2026, 4:57:18 PM1 trades$7,6110 min
1/22/2026, 5:02:30 PM4 trades$1,5783 min
1/22/2026, 5:13:20 PM1 trades$1,2600 min
1/22/2026, 5:19:30 PM1 trades$430 min
1/22/2026, 7:46:22 PM1 trades$26,2140 min
1/23/2026, 10:03:44 AM9 trades$5,3834 min
1/23/2026, 2:33:32 PM4 trades$8803 min
1/23/2026, 3:18:28 PM1 trades$21,7280 min
1/24/2026, 2:15:04 PM1 trades$1,3680 min
1/24/2026, 2:21:54 PM1 trades$1370 min
1/24/2026, 4:23:56 PM1 trades$12,5270 min
1/26/2026, 3:28:11 PM6 trades$14,9482 min
1/26/2026, 4:03:19 PM4 trades$7242 min
1/26/2026, 4:21:21 PM1 trades$29,9450 min
1/31/2026, 9:35:36 PM2 trades$6,7010 min
1/31/2026, 9:41:42 PM5 trades$9,0785 min
1/31/2026, 11:08:50 PM1 trades$38,4120 min
2/2/2026, 12:11:10 AM1 trades$15,9390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-01
03-03
03-23
04-26
05-22
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event