Valen9

@Valen9

#75894

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d

~193d· 658 markets · 36783 tradesVol: $31,182,5022026-08-23 11:03:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (377/575)17.8/20
2.70x (win $6,375,521 / loss $2,359,509)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.41215/15
Sortino 6.99810/10
$+0.3857 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 214 (575 markets)10/10
84/144 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($1,074,012 / $4,593,227)9.3/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+313,783
DCA Master
Avg 88.8 entries/market
Whale
$10,413,389 invested
High Roller
$53,130/day
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#146$358,297Vol: $25,325,236
📈 ECONOMICS#688,824$-147,630Vol: $4,338,646
💰 FINANCE#663,768$-8,346Vol: $368,314
SPORTS#3,238$17,818Vol: $302,204
🎭 CULTURE#1,064$8,010Vol: $280,958
CRYPTO#1,288$33,753Vol: $212,515
📢 MENTIONS#275$6,730Vol: $79,033
💻 TECH#886$1,966Vol: $59,297

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$276,371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,182,502
Total Redeem
$361,450
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
658
total markets
Trades
21979B / 14804S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~193d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,873
Vol: $9,799
Week
$-29,425
Vol: $9,799
Month
$-34,588
Vol: $2,755,598
All Time
$276,371
Vol: $31,182,502

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
377W / 198L events
Realized PnL
$313,783
Win Rate
66%
377W / 198L
Profit Factor
2.7x
Avg Win
$16,911
Avg Loss
$-11,977

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,532,975 (14.446189816575732% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,739,518
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$537,271
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$256,187
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$245,730
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$203,975
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$173,904
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$144,623
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$87,042
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$78,883
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$60,028

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-533,778
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-319,298
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-245,494
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-213,616
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-94,279
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-89,583
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-75,437
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-74,812
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-64,938
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-58,599

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.074
Sortino
0.245
HHI
321
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.288
Kelly %
34.8%
Half-Kelly
17.4%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
31.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
187.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.2m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 4.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock188 trades/day — automation3.4 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
88.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)64.2%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:40:21 PM97 trades$215,17022 min
4/8/2026, 12:02:41 AM10 trades$184,03418 min
6/19/2026, 11:13:13 PM27 trades$160,3277 min
5/24/2026, 8:11:55 PM36 trades$147,3060 min
4/7/2026, 7:56:05 PM22 trades$134,6599 min
8/11/2026, 2:51:01 PM57 trades$125,98817 min
4/8/2026, 9:14:25 PM35 trades$104,87426 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:01 PM77 trades$100,80031 min
4/21/2026, 6:47:42 PM38 trades$100,5818 min
6/10/2026, 12:16:07 PM41 trades$100,5279 min
4/22/2026, 5:50:38 PM6 trades$100,0110 min
5/6/2026, 10:41:38 AM16 trades$99,6030 min
8/4/2026, 1:42:51 PM100 trades$97,68515 min
7/3/2026, 11:15:10 PM5 trades$95,6988 min
6/10/2026, 12:31:19 PM67 trades$89,91411 min
5/7/2026, 10:36:48 AM22 trades$85,9644 min
7/25/2026, 5:34:51 PM18 trades$85,8774 min
4/5/2026, 3:21:47 PM7 trades$81,5160 min
6/13/2026, 11:01:34 AM98 trades$79,81215 min
6/4/2026, 8:58:40 PM19 trades$79,5969 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-24
03-24
04-20
05-22
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 88.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M19.9 / H64.2