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@Vengeful-Netsuke

#2,71094

0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33

694d· 7007 markets · 8304 tradesVol: $28,715,7262026-06-15T13:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 147.47x15/15
Sharpe 0.4729/15
Sortino 29.20010/10
EV $+3.30310/10
HHI 14910/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Vengeful-Netsuke is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 8,300 trades executed across 518 markets. Ranked #2710 globally by net profit, they have achieved a net PnL of approximately $59,000 on a total volume exceeding $28 million. Despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.47, their smart score of 94/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong trading acumen over 884 days of activity.

This trader favors a diversified approach, participating in a wide range of markets while maintaining a notably low sell percentage of 9%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. Vengeful-Netsuke’s win rate of 78.5% points to a consistent success rate, and their badges for sniper and dollar-cost averaging mastery imply a strategic balance between precision entries and gradual position scaling. The flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration indicate stable capital preservation over time.

Key strengths for Vengeful-Netsuke include disciplined risk management and consistent profitability, supported by a high win rate and strong smart score. However, the low profit factor of 0.05 raises questions about the size of profits relative to losses, and the relatively low Sharpe ratio suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. Overall, Vengeful-Netsuke’s strategy appears robust, but traders should consider the balance between volume, win rate, and profitability when analyzing their performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+59,022
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 14.6 entries/market
Win Streak
174 wins in a row
Whale
$2,596,486
Consistent
122/133 days
High Roller
$2,937/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,599,257$-39,673Vol: $12,081,704
CRYPTO#1,582,850$-62,181Vol: $8,437,898
SPORTS#667$94,009Vol: $2,583,724
📈 ECONOMICS#50$110,028Vol: $2,240,346
🎭 CULTURE#797,097$-36,692Vol: $2,077,335
💰 FINANCE#629,335$-9,094Vol: $451,698
💻 TECH#1,443$842Vol: $404,559
🌤️ WEATHER#302$5,458Vol: $289,507
📢 MENTIONS#1,698$674Vol: $17,882

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$59,022
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,715,726
Total Redeem
$428,934
Portfolio
$370,881
Predictions
7007
total markets
Trades
7548B / 756S
Daily Volume
$2,937
Account Age
694d
since Aug 1, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-805
Vol: $31,406
Week
$-805
Vol: $155,300
Month
$6,209
Vol: $656,223
All Time
$59,022
Vol: $28,715,726

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
296W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$1,132,585
Win Rate
79%
271W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$257
Avg Loss
$-18,111

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$12,483
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$8,553
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4,837
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2,625
Iran leadership change by May 31?$2,384
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republi$2,335
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$2,259
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$2,057
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$1,987
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1,940

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-110,670
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-95,569
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$-68,115
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?$-55,505
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-51,009
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-49,577
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-41,507
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-40,764
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-39,886
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-38,902

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.472
Sortino
29.200
HHI
149
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.303
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
17.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness17 trades/day — very active421 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
92 entries
<=2
163 entries
<=5
286 entries
<=10
385 entries
<=20
425 entries
<=50
486 entries
>50
32 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)92.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.2%

Seattle$27
Seoul$19
San Francisco$10
Los Angeles$8
New York City$-108,216
Other$-1,162,442

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
358

Single bracket

<=1
272 brackets
<=2
328 brackets
<=3
343 brackets
<=4
350 brackets
<=5
351 brackets
<=8
356 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/7/2025, 8:50:42 PM1 trades$2650 min
2/12/2025, 9:24:54 PM1 trades$2480 min
3/15/2025, 7:43:44 AM3 trades$6,0800 min
3/16/2025, 1:24:20 PM1 trades$3700 min
3/25/2025, 6:36:41 AM1 trades$3110 min
4/2/2025, 2:04:23 PM2 trades$4551 min
4/2/2025, 3:54:58 PM1 trades$1560 min
4/2/2025, 4:07:52 PM1 trades$520 min
4/2/2025, 9:30:54 PM2 trades$1411 min
4/3/2025, 12:20:30 AM1 trades$3990 min
4/5/2025, 7:29:03 AM1 trades$1,3920 min
4/17/2025, 5:58:41 PM2 trades$1,8343 min
4/19/2025, 2:09:23 PM1 trades$2020 min
4/19/2025, 2:21:34 PM2 trades$3,8861 min
4/19/2025, 2:29:03 PM1 trades$3,8130 min
4/19/2025, 2:46:57 PM2 trades$1,2670 min
4/19/2025, 4:12:02 PM8 trades$1,5594 min
4/19/2025, 5:14:04 PM1 trades$1230 min
4/19/2025, 5:28:02 PM2 trades$1321 min
5/8/2025, 9:31:09 AM1 trades$6,6600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-23
06-20
10-03
01-28
06-21
06-26
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event