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@Vigilant-Environment

#17875

0xdbdd45150249e229eb4ca8aa48a30dca21faa5de

297d· 73464 markets · 4671 tradesVol: $36,239,8502026-06-27T03:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 20%0/20
Profit Factor 4.96x15/15
Sharpe 0.56911/15
Sortino 0.9469/10
EV $+3.60010/10
HHI 4510/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 20%10/10

Summary

Vigilant-Environment is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #178 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $897,740.79 over 182 days. They have executed 4,671 trades across 1,856 markets, maintaining a substantial total volume of over $36 million. Their Smart Score of 75/100 reflects very good trading skill, supported by a consistent win rate of 78% and a profit factor of 2.42, indicating strong profitability relative to losses.

The trading style of Vigilant-Environment appears disciplined and steady, with no exposure to weather markets and a complete avoidance of selling, suggesting a long-only or hold strategy. Their 0-day max drawdown duration and a Sharpe ratio of 0.57 show moderate risk management and relatively stable equity trends. The semi-automated approach, as indicated by a bot score of 55/100, combines both manual and algorithmic elements, allowing for timely decision-making across diverse markets.

Key strengths of Vigilant-Environment include a high win rate, consistent profits, and resilience demonstrated by badges like Diamond Hands and Contrarian. However, the flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio imply limited upside volatility capture. Their zero sell percentage could expose them to risks if markets rapidly reverse. Overall, Vigilant-Environment’s data-driven approach on Polymarket emphasizes steady gains with cautious risk exposure.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+897,741
Contrarian
59% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$419,805
Consistent
90/110 days
High Roller
$2,307/day
Cool Head
DD 20%

Categories

1
SPORTS#138$717,257Vol: $22,739,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$897,741
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,239,850
Total Redeem
$287,343
Portfolio
$22,556
Predictions
73464
total markets
Trades
4671B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,307
Account Age
297d
since Sep 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$11,147
Vol: $40,793
Week
$42,651
Vol: $1,421,158
Month
$259,244
Vol: $4,075,191
All Time
$897,741
Vol: $36,239,850

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
22%
266W / 924L events
Realized PnL
$866,308
Win Rate
78%
423W / 118L
Profit Factor
2.42x
Avg Win
$251
Avg Loss
$-372

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,611 (18.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$4,634
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$3,564
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$3,413
Spread: France (-2.5)$3,407
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 2 Winner$3,321
Valorant: QoR vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 $3,070
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5$3,034
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$2,746
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$2,541
Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$2,444

Top Losers

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-4,546
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm$-3,991
ITF Asuncion: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Ana Candiotto$-3,699
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-2,995
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-2,959
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5$-2,649
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)$-1,873
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$-1,468
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoff$-1,335
ITF Taipei: Aishi Das vs Yuki Naito$-1,282

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.569
Sortino
0.946
HHI
45
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.600
Kelly %
55.1%
Half-Kelly
27.6%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.5
Active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
59s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 59s — typical for humanSize CV 3.47 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.90 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage1584 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
1015 entries
<=2
1361 entries
<=5
1676 entries
<=10
1810 entries
<=20
1843 entries
<=50
1856 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)47.3%
High (>55c)33.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 27.6%

Other$66,543
Atlanta$768
San Francisco$90
Chicago$74
Milan$0
London$0
Los Angeles$0
Paris$0
Miami$0
Toronto$0
Houston$0
Tokyo$0
Dallas$-205
Taipei$-1,025
Seattle$-3,925

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
1202

Single bracket

<=1
885 brackets
<=2
1062 brackets
<=3
1141 brackets
<=4
1161 brackets
<=5
1172 brackets
<=8
1191 brackets
>8
11 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/24/2026, 10:35:12 PM1 trades$580 min
4/21/2026, 3:18:36 PM1 trades$10 min
4/28/2026, 3:00:28 AM1 trades$10 min
5/8/2026, 8:24:50 PM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2026, 8:54:10 AM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2026, 9:23:41 AM2 trades$14 min
5/23/2026, 3:52:40 PM1 trades$10 min
5/25/2026, 1:44:55 PM6 trades$583 min
5/25/2026, 1:54:12 PM9 trades$1698 min
5/25/2026, 2:22:29 PM6 trades$13612 min
5/25/2026, 2:44:18 PM1 trades$170 min
5/25/2026, 3:11:29 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 1:48:05 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 3:52:34 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 5:51:11 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 6:53:15 PM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2026, 8:57:24 PM1 trades$10 min
5/27/2026, 11:28:54 AM1 trades$10 min
5/27/2026, 6:55:48 PM1 trades$10 min
5/28/2026, 12:08:15 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
03-19
04-06
04-30
05-19
06-15
06-30
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event