Polydata
Data is 6 days old — refreshing in background...

@Vigilant-Environment

#25875

0xdbdd45150249e229eb4ca8aa48a30dca21faa5de

257d· 60357 markets · 3129 tradesVol: $29,680,1792026-05-15T21:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 0.39x0/15
Sharpe 0.92215/15
Sortino 3.87410/10
HHI 6010/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Vigilant-Environment is an active Polymarket trader ranked #258 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 168 days, they have executed 3,129 trades across 1,074 markets, generating a net profit of $562,185.65 on a total volume of nearly $30 million. Their win rate is strong at 72.9%, reflecting consistent profitability, while their current portfolio value stands at $23,936.59 with a Sharpe ratio of 0.92, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Vigilant-Environment appears disciplined and methodical, favoring a contrarian approach as suggested by the "Contrarian" badge. They maintain a very low risk profile with no recorded drawdown duration and no positions in weather markets. The trader shows a preference for holding positions without selling, aligning with a "Diamond Hands" strategy that emphasizes patience and endurance. Their timing seems strategic, supported by a "Sniper" badge that implies well-timed entries, contributing to their steady equity trend.

Vigilant-Environment's strengths lie in their high win rate, ability to maintain stable equity, and disciplined trade execution. However, the profit factor of 0.39 suggests that while wins are frequent, the average gain per trade may be modest compared to losses, which could pose risks during volatile market phases. Their semi-automated trading style, indicated by a bot score of 45/100, may also introduce operational complexities. Overall, Vigilant-Environment demonstrates strong trading skills on Polymarket but should monitor profit efficiency and market adaptability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+562,186
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
Whale
$440,059
Consistent
77/82 days
High Roller
$2,619/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
SPORTS#142$562,186Vol: $29,680,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$562,186
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,680,179
Total Redeem
$227,841
Portfolio
$23,937
Predictions
60357
total markets
Trades
3129B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,619
Account Age
257d
since Sep 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,295
Vol: $179,892
Week
$1,694
Vol: $1,292,496
Month
$99,715
Vol: $3,736,699
All Time
$562,186
Vol: $29,680,179

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
287W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$832,184
Win Rate
73%
433W / 161L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-1,282

Top Winners

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-14?$4,901
Wild vs. Avalanche$2,641
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$2,548
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5$2,379
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$2,318
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?$1,805
Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B$1,791
Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchi$1,753
CR Brasil vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5$1,679
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Pl$1,437

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians$-10,805
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-9,999
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-8,402
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-7,969
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$-6,683
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?$-6,390
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Sora Fukuda$-6,054
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid$-5,860
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Ser$-5,494
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$-5,143

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.922
Sortino
3.874
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.356
Kelly %
32.1%
Half-Kelly
16.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.2
Active
Markets / Day
9.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 2.72 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high459 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
489 entries
<=2
711 entries
<=5
942 entries
<=10
1031 entries
<=20
1069 entries
<=50
1074 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)47.1%
High (>55c)37.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 31.6%

Seattle$489
Milan$440
São Paulo$28
Beijing$26
Shenzhen$6
New York City$1
Atlanta$-230
Toronto$-699
Chicago$-793
Austin$-883
Shanghai$-1,039
Miami$-1,637
Los Angeles$-1,897
Dallas$-1,902
Paris$-2,170
Houston$-3,441
Chengdu$-4,390
Madrid$-5,459

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
641

Single bracket

<=1
390 brackets
<=2
510 brackets
<=3
608 brackets
<=4
631 brackets
<=5
638 brackets
<=8
640 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/24/2026, 10:35:12 PM1 trades$580 min
4/7/2026, 9:45:39 AM1 trades$2110 min
4/7/2026, 2:16:57 PM1 trades$2710 min
4/7/2026, 2:22:03 PM2 trades$1,8410 min
4/7/2026, 2:40:53 PM2 trades$202 min
4/7/2026, 2:48:55 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 3:06:51 PM2 trades$32 min
4/7/2026, 3:20:17 PM1 trades$510 min
4/7/2026, 4:14:23 PM1 trades$300 min
4/7/2026, 4:28:57 PM3 trades$854 min
4/7/2026, 4:46:45 PM4 trades$4,1079 min
4/7/2026, 5:25:13 PM1 trades$1,9520 min
4/7/2026, 5:35:35 PM1 trades$320 min
4/7/2026, 5:48:41 PM2 trades$2,2004 min
4/8/2026, 11:50:31 AM1 trades$20 min
4/8/2026, 12:14:23 PM4 trades$35 min
4/8/2026, 12:57:57 PM5 trades$29 min
4/8/2026, 1:13:51 PM2 trades$00 min
4/8/2026, 1:18:57 PM1 trades$20 min
4/8/2026, 1:25:27 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
03-12
03-26
04-08
04-26
05-09
05-21
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event