Polydata

@Visible-Clipboard

#2,922,29040

0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454

175d· 182 markets · 6546 tradesVol: $5,235,8712026-06-27T03:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 73%20/20
Profit Factor 0.88x1/15
HHI 20510/10
Profit Days 66%9/10
DD/Peak 332%0/10

Summary

Visible-Clipboard is an active Polymarket trader with nearly a year of continuous trading experience, totaling 6,546 trades across 182 markets. Despite a high trading volume of over $5.2 million, Visible-Clipboard currently ranks low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,922,290, holding a net loss of approximately $45,000. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 40/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio, indicate challenges in profitability and risk-adjusted returns.

Visible-Clipboard tends to employ a high-frequency trading approach with a moderately diversified portfolio, engaging in various markets but showing no participation in weather-related contracts. Their win rate is just under 50%, with a profit factor of 0.36, suggesting that losses outweigh gains. The trader demonstrates a moderate risk profile, reflected by a 37% sell percentage and frequent use of dollar-cost averaging techniques, as indicated by the DCA Master badge. Timing appears opportunistic rather than strategic, with short drawdown durations but limited evidence of consistent market timing advantages.

The key strength of Visible-Clipboard lies in their substantial trading volume and portfolio growth trend, which suggests resilience and commitment to refining their approach. However, the trader faces significant risks from sustained losses and a negative risk-adjusted return, which may undermine long-term profitability. The below-average Smart and Bot Scores also imply that there may be room for improvement in strategy sophistication and execution efficiency on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 73%
DCA Master
avg 22.6 entries/market
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$2,327,079
Consistent
23/35 days
High Roller
$6,358/day

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#303$165,676Vol: $3,919,818
💰 FINANCE#636,912$-184,179Vol: $647,324
📈 ECONOMICS#287$23,252Vol: $279,776
💻 TECH#243,059$-32,519Vol: $175,629
CRYPTO#1,609,357$-22,068Vol: $140,474
🎭 CULTURE#3,866$1,421Vol: $57,534
🌤️ WEATHER#2,515$455Vol: $10,018

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-44,964
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,235,871
Total Redeem
$638,393
Portfolio
$289,065
Predictions
182
total markets
Trades
4118B / 2428S
Daily Volume
$6,358
Account Age
175d
since Jan 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$231
Vol: $0
Week
$-216
Vol: $14,430
Month
$-26,914
Vol: $396,125
All Time
$-44,964
Vol: $5,235,871

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
74%
75W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-70,352
Win Rate
49%
71W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$3,382
Avg Loss
$-8,798

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$22,394
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$18,429
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$17,429
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$16,926
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$16,151
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$14,891
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$13,180
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$11,780
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11,253
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$8,241

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$-60,541
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$-44,182
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-42,903
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$-40,071
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-39,718
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$-29,659
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$-28,793
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-27,679
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-24,118
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$-22,505

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
205
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
22.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — typical for humanSize CV 3.78 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
35 entries
<=2
48 entries
<=5
88 entries
<=10
107 entries
<=20
137 entries
<=50
161 entries
>50
21 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)77.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7.6%

Other$-419,674

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
103

Single bracket

<=1
83 brackets
<=2
87 brackets
<=3
92 brackets
<=4
97 brackets
<=5
97 brackets
<=8
101 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/5/2026, 11:52:25 AM7 trades$9867 min
1/5/2026, 12:57:29 PM1 trades$880 min
1/5/2026, 1:38:43 PM2 trades$4262 min
1/5/2026, 2:09:45 PM1 trades$2,2760 min
1/6/2026, 2:17:59 AM1 trades$4,5250 min
1/6/2026, 2:48:41 PM1 trades$940 min
1/6/2026, 3:16:29 PM1 trades$500 min
1/6/2026, 4:43:59 PM1 trades$1630 min
1/7/2026, 2:37:15 AM2 trades$5910 min
1/7/2026, 3:18:25 AM1 trades$850 min
1/7/2026, 5:34:37 AM5 trades$1773 min
1/7/2026, 5:42:43 AM1 trades$6700 min
1/7/2026, 5:49:21 AM7 trades$21,0039 min
1/7/2026, 6:15:05 AM2 trades$600 min
1/7/2026, 6:20:15 AM2 trades$1,4705 min
1/7/2026, 7:13:37 AM2 trades$1480 min
1/7/2026, 7:40:37 AM1 trades$8900 min
1/7/2026, 8:05:01 AM1 trades$160 min
1/7/2026, 8:38:23 AM1 trades$2890 min
1/7/2026, 9:24:51 AM1 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-16
02-03
04-01
05-15
06-15
11-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event