WalterSobchack

@WalterSobchack

#3,058,20436

0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653

~188d· 416 markets · 31813 tradesVol: $2,504,1512026-08-04 18:59:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (209/354)14.5/20
1.01x (win $43,629 / loss $43,137)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0551/15
Sortino 0.0950.9/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 546 (354 markets)9.8/10
70/121 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 2752% of peak ($16,588 / $603)0/10

Badges

7
Diamond Hands
10% sells
DCA Master
Avg 116.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,111,662 invested
High Roller
$5,614/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,497$-7,455Vol: $1,225,195
SPORTS#1,867,310$-3,615Vol: $1,018,018
🎭 CULTURE#3,231$1,891Vol: $183,770
CRYPTO#1,580,842$-397Vol: $40,828
🌤️ WEATHER#291,643$-225Vol: $22,612
📈 ECONOMICS#649,617$-53Vol: $9,959
💰 FINANCE#625,268$-69Vol: $3,770

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,924
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,504,151
Total Redeem
$255
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
416
total markets
Trades
28662B / 3151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

Periods

#2
Today
$113
Vol: $1,591
Week
$-76
Vol: $6,485
Month
$-72
Vol: $10,641
All Time
$-9,924
Vol: $2,504,151

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
209W / 145L events
Realized PnL
$-9,924
Win Rate
59%
209W / 145L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$209
Avg Loss
$-302

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,258 (2.2429507423612467% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,801
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,257
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4,200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,852
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2,572
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1,690
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,214
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$875
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$848
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$673

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,476
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3,540
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,501
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3,104
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-2,839
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-2,679
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-2,238
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-2,110
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-2,094
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,614

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.004
HHI
1446
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
19.0%
Half-Kelly
9.5%
Top-1 market
25.6%
Top-5 markets
67%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
160.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock161 trades/day — automation2.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
116.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)63%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 11:33:43 PM321 trades$21,71991 min
7/1/2026, 5:13:17 PM432 trades$20,395126 min
7/11/2026, 10:46:16 PM173 trades$13,06551 min
7/12/2026, 3:00:02 AM172 trades$12,96952 min
7/14/2026, 8:50:35 PM289 trades$11,30756 min
6/5/2026, 10:34:55 PM99 trades$10,0536 min
6/29/2026, 10:55:13 PM132 trades$8,15457 min
7/3/2026, 12:12:56 AM131 trades$8,14453 min
7/12/2026, 2:23:04 AM74 trades$7,73631 min
7/12/2026, 12:36:26 AM103 trades$7,03768 min
6/4/2026, 10:43:51 PM110 trades$6,62040 min
6/29/2026, 8:57:13 PM88 trades$5,86456 min
3/15/2026, 3:01:01 PM188 trades$5,253108 min
7/11/2026, 11:43:11 PM40 trades$4,78817 min
6/6/2026, 3:40:15 AM11 trades$4,4229 min
7/3/2026, 3:01:22 PM32 trades$3,69015 min
7/11/2026, 9:36:46 PM40 trades$3,57720 min
6/30/2026, 5:48:50 PM60 trades$3,54950 min
3/8/2026, 6:00:03 PM19 trades$3,39825 min
7/7/2026, 4:01:40 PM38 trades$3,30832 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-21
03-24
05-16
06-17
07-08
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 135 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 116.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M22.4 / H63