@WatchTheTape
#3,049,072370xdd287fd025c76163eeb23345c3a8595f728a374a
~329d· 1591 markets · 4381 tradesVol: $1,090,7902026-08-04 19:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (1026/1423)20/20
0.81x (win $42,585 / loss $52,595)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1860/15
Sortino -1.6850/10
$-0.0255 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 164 (1423 markets)10/10
147/253 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 1283% of peak ($19,261 / $1,501)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 72%
Whale
$391,885 invested
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,496$-7,452Vol: $319,576
⚽ SPORTS#34,801$1,137Vol: $305,016
₿ CRYPTO#110,315$73Vol: $240,004
📈 ECONOMICS#676,621$-574Vol: $148,983
💰 FINANCE#11,997$210Vol: $20,313
🎭 CULTURE#785,766$-119Vol: $16,700
💻 TECH#4,627$158Vol: $6,185
📢 MENTIONS#160,061$-68Vol: $786
🌤️ WEATHER#33,909$4Vol: $85
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,288
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,090,790
Total Redeem
$207
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1591
total markets
Trades
3006B / 1375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~329d
Periods
#2Today
$42
Vol: $3,968
Week
$233
Vol: $34,604
Month
$131
Vol: $40,427
All Time
$-6,288
Vol: $1,090,790
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
1026W / 397L events
Realized PnL
$-6,288
Win Rate
72%
1026W / 397L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-144
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,869 (1.251529537123182% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$3,007
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$2,662
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$2,201
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2,107
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$2,023
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$1,222
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$971
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?$800
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$624
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$617
Top Losers
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$-2,939
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-2,862
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$-2,598
Will $TRUMP hit $50B FDV by noon on inauguration day?$-2,043
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$-1,684
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-1,441
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,165
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-993
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?$-946
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$-821
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
15.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)75.6%
Sessions
#129/29/2024, 2:28:06 PM26 trades$16,04212 min
2/4/2025, 12:46:38 PM19 trades$13,04113 min
6/2/2026, 7:15:16 PM5 trades$12,7911 min
3/5/2025, 9:17:19 AM4 trades$11,9614 min
5/8/2025, 4:04:26 PM10 trades$11,01113 min
1/10/2025, 5:13:09 PM4 trades$11,0066 min
7/25/2025, 7:44:04 AM4 trades$9,6512 min
3/5/2025, 11:14:33 AM5 trades$9,0823 min
1/30/2025, 2:07:25 PM18 trades$8,59113 min
1/18/2025, 12:12:03 PM5 trades$8,3946 min
3/17/2026, 9:35:17 AM11 trades$8,1643 min
12/31/2024, 7:43:08 PM1 trades$7,9380 min
10/28/2025, 5:36:23 PM4 trades$7,8631 min
4/4/2026, 2:50:11 PM66 trades$7,0413 min
1/29/2025, 7:34:17 AM3 trades$6,8541 min
10/21/2025, 8:49:49 PM2 trades$6,6991 min
7/9/2026, 10:46:32 AM27 trades$5,8098 min
1/18/2025, 11:47:01 PM4 trades$5,5622 min
6/16/2025, 9:07:01 AM8 trades$5,3835 min
1/18/2025, 12:01:11 PM4 trades$5,2653 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
02-17
05-14
11-13
01-17
03-17
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 593 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M15.2 / H75.6