@Weaseloftheweek

#3,112,40714

0x5dab5ed9691fab220535891d9c7f5c28eed322e1

~19d· 37 markets · 2755 tradesVol: $17,973,5772026-08-26 09:12:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (14/35)5/20
0.43x (win $721,534 / loss $1,662,410)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.3110/15
Sortino -9.3840/10
$-0.4087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 630 (35 markets)9.3/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 983% of peak ($1,047,418 / $106,541)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Whale
$2,302,229 invested
High Roller
$15,877/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,898,227$-331,363Vol: $13,252,387

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-712,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,973,577
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
1832B / 923S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Week
$-11,975
Vol: $477,465
Month
$-721,858
Vol: $11,989,719
All Time
$-712,476
Vol: $17,973,577

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
14W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-118,154
Win Rate
40%
14W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$51,538
Avg Loss
$-83,121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $359,212 (3.0402122692011266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$174,301
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$107,083
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$77,829
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$72,736
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?$59,010
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?$51,593
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?$46,423
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$35,661
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox$27,283
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D$24,479

Top Losers

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?$-305,488
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$-243,646
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-198,792
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave$-121,422
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)$-102,856
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$-102,381
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-100,485
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?$-91,317
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel$-86,113
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?$-58,561

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.520
Sortino
-0.560
HHI
633
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.415
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
46.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 7.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity19 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
58.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.3%
High (>55c)59.3%

Sessions

#12
8/13/2026, 7:14:01 AM75 trades$372,4740 min
7/11/2026, 11:59:22 PM2 trades$337,4620 min
8/14/2026, 8:00:52 PM372 trades$308,75110 min
7/10/2026, 6:16:46 PM69 trades$190,2441 min
4/4/2026, 1:19:37 PM48 trades$188,8341 min
8/13/2026, 4:09:57 AM31 trades$186,7419 min
4/4/2026, 3:37:35 PM6 trades$177,8186 min
5/24/2026, 2:28:13 PM32 trades$153,1466 min
7/11/2026, 7:33:13 PM18 trades$150,0580 min
5/23/2026, 7:52:13 PM21 trades$121,5814 min
8/13/2026, 3:54:46 PM17 trades$116,0040 min
7/11/2026, 11:04:32 PM135 trades$99,8423 min
7/11/2026, 7:01:16 PM23 trades$90,4650 min
8/8/2026, 7:51:33 PM12 trades$89,8430 min
8/13/2026, 3:09:36 PM106 trades$89,5978 min
8/14/2026, 9:13:06 PM58 trades$89,1957 min
8/13/2026, 1:24:04 AM53 trades$76,71913 min
8/9/2026, 10:00:09 PM36 trades$68,5770 min
7/9/2026, 5:53:19 PM5 trades$68,5623 min
5/24/2026, 5:13:53 PM3 trades$66,3190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-04
05-24
07-10
07-12
08-09
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.4 / M9.3 / H59.3