Polydata
Data is 15 days old — refreshing in background...

@Whispered-Confirmation

#10,47230

0x45e4dff0c2eccd0197d9c28a8b117472f9f4306f

93d· 4471 markets · 4245 tradesVol: $2,792,1452026-06-13T10:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.08x0/15
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 27%0/10

Summary

Whispered-Confirmation is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 4,245 trades executed over 39 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #10,472 with a net profit of $12,836.59 from a total trading volume of nearly $2.8 million. Despite an upward equity trend and a positive win rate of 58%, their overall Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and their Sharpe ratio is negative (-0.55), indicating risk-adjusted performance challenges.

This trader appears to employ an automated strategy, as suggested by a strong Bot Score of 70/100 and badges like "Sniper" and "Bot." Whispered-Confirmation trades across a wide variety of markets, totaling 1,038, showing a diversified approach. They maintain a consistent risk profile with no recorded drawdown duration and no selling activity, implying a buy-and-hold or long-position bias. Their profit factor of 0.08 suggests that losses may outweigh gains per trade, despite a decent win rate, possibly due to skewed payoff distributions.

Whispered-Confirmation’s strengths include a solid trade volume and an upward equity trend, supported by automated execution that can capitalize on quick opportunities. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential issues with risk management or trade sizing. The complete absence of selling actions may also limit flexibility in volatile markets. Overall, while the trader shows promising activity on Polymarket, there are risks that could impact sustained profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+12,837
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
83 wins in a row
Whale
$216,461
High Roller
$5,512/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#3,474$12,842Vol: $2,786,800
SPORTS#1,137,701$-5Vol: $5,345

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,792,145
Total Redeem
$83,090
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4471
total markets
Trades
4230B / 15S
Daily Volume
$5,512
Account Age
93d
since Mar 27, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$98,907
Win Rate
58%
469W / 339L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-394

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$468
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10PM ET$331
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$289
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$248
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET$212
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$198
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$164
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$163
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$155

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-6,947
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$-6,163
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-5,039
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-3,823
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-2,378
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-2,104
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$-1,452
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-1,304
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-1,281
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$-1,258

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.553
Sortino
-0.519
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.596
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
108.1
Very active
Markets / Day
26.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.0m
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 38s — typical for humanSize CV 2.78 — diverse, typical for human55% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness108 trades/day — automation26 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
430 entries
<=2
707 entries
<=5
886 entries
<=10
943 entries
<=20
991 entries
<=50
1036 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)54.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.7%

Other$-123,378

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1038

Single bracket

<=1
1038 brackets
<=2
1038 brackets
<=3
1038 brackets
<=4
1038 brackets
<=5
1038 brackets
<=8
1038 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 1:34:37 AM2 trades$770 min
4/3/2026, 11:34:35 PM1 trades$100 min
4/4/2026, 2:04:31 AM2 trades$391 min
4/4/2026, 9:29:47 AM1 trades$190 min
4/4/2026, 11:43:41 PM2 trades$381 min
4/5/2026, 1:59:37 AM2 trades$180 min
4/5/2026, 6:39:29 AM2 trades$380 min
4/5/2026, 7:50:11 AM1 trades$190 min
4/6/2026, 4:49:23 AM1 trades$470 min
4/7/2026, 5:59:47 AM1 trades$470 min
4/8/2026, 1:24:35 AM1 trades$460 min
4/8/2026, 4:24:33 AM1 trades$470 min
4/8/2026, 5:34:37 AM1 trades$340 min
4/8/2026, 11:59:41 PM2 trades$2410 min
4/9/2026, 2:43:59 AM2 trades$3621 min
4/9/2026, 4:28:53 AM2 trades$3091 min
4/9/2026, 4:39:37 AM2 trades$2340 min
4/9/2026, 4:44:51 AM1 trades$470 min
4/9/2026, 4:57:41 AM2 trades$2420 min
4/9/2026, 5:02:55 AM14 trades$1,69517 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-08
04-13
04-18
04-23
04-28
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event