Polydata
coinman2

@coinman2

#12991

0x55be7aa03ecfbe37aa5460db791205f7ac9ddca3

581d· 3500 markets · 9527 tradesVol: $80,144,2522026-06-29T11:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 62%16/20
Profit Factor 24.77x15/15
Sharpe 0.56711/15
Sortino 3.19610/10
EV $+16.52510/10
HHI 19410/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

coinman2 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #129 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 664 days, they have executed 9,527 trades across 324 markets, generating a net profit of over $1.14 million on a total volume exceeding $80 million. With an elite Smart Score of 91/100, coinman2 demonstrates consistent trading skill, although their portfolio value remains just under $91,000, indicating substantial reinvestment or drawdowns.

The trading style of coinman2 appears to favor a contrarian and sniper approach, as suggested by their badges and a low win rate of 40%, paired with a very low profit factor of 0.03. This indicates that while many trades may not be winning, those that do succeed can be highly profitable. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.57 shows moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of drawdown duration suggests disciplined risk management. Notably, coinman2 does not engage in selling or weather markets, and their Bot Score suggests a mix of automated and manual trading.

Key strengths of coinman2 include a stable equity trend and a strong elite rating, reflecting skillful navigation of Polymarket’s diverse markets. Their contrarian style can capitalize on overlooked opportunities, supported by a solid win streak and diamond hands mentality. However, the low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio indicate potential vulnerability to extended losing streaks. Additionally, their semi-automated trading style may expose them to both algorithmic and human errors, which traders should consider when evaluating coinman2’s performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+1,144,486
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$1,224,370
Consistent
161/225 days
High Roller
$1,844/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#6$1,104,294Vol: $79,952,012
SPORTS#1,376$40,192Vol: $192,240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,144,486
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,144,252
Total Redeem
$104,849
Portfolio
$90,985
Predictions
3500
total markets
Trades
9516B / 11S
Daily Volume
$1,844
Account Age
581d
since Nov 25, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$113
Vol: $38,486
Week
$113
Vol: $55,932
Month
$145,085
Vol: $2,520,912
All Time
$1,144,486
Vol: $80,144,252

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
64%
246W / 137L events
Realized PnL
$4,089,625
Win Rate
40%
24W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$211
Avg Loss
$-5,395

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down on June 25?$1,316
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 24?$938
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 28?$797
Will Solana reach $75 on June 26?$795
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 23?$683
Will Solana reach $75 on June 21?$144
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 24?$143
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?$101
Will Solana reach $90 June 15-21?$39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 25?$23

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$-50,454
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-38,209
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?$-34,629
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on Janua$-15,090
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$-11,226
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24?$-9,587
Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?$-6,828
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?$-6,823
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$-5,995
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on July 1?$-3,624

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.567
Sortino
3.196
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$16.525
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — typical for humanSize CV 3.88 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high549 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
41 entries
<=2
62 entries
<=5
114 entries
<=10
160 entries
<=20
211 entries
<=50
267 entries
>50
57 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)43.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.4%

Up or Down$-60,041
Other$-129,131

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
211

Single bracket

<=1
131 brackets
<=2
185 brackets
<=3
207 brackets
<=4
210 brackets
<=5
210 brackets
<=8
211 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/13/2025, 10:42:33 AM1 trades$20 min
8/13/2025, 8:49:56 PM1 trades$100 min
8/14/2025, 8:42:58 AM1 trades$150 min
8/14/2025, 1:10:20 PM1 trades$70 min
8/14/2025, 7:58:02 PM5 trades$3,4980 min
8/14/2025, 9:26:18 PM1 trades$740 min
8/15/2025, 1:41:50 AM1 trades$1,3090 min
8/15/2025, 4:34:38 AM4 trades$1,8260 min
8/15/2025, 6:35:12 AM1 trades$7580 min
8/15/2025, 6:43:56 AM1 trades$8370 min
8/15/2025, 6:54:06 AM1 trades$8470 min
8/15/2025, 7:03:32 PM1 trades$1200 min
8/17/2025, 5:49:04 PM1 trades$2,4900 min
8/17/2025, 5:55:02 PM1 trades$5990 min
8/17/2025, 6:11:38 PM1 trades$1,1400 min
8/17/2025, 6:56:30 PM2 trades$1,6940 min
8/18/2025, 1:26:36 PM4 trades$6,8565 min
8/18/2025, 5:28:50 PM1 trades$1,0880 min
8/19/2025, 4:27:35 AM1 trades$3730 min
8/19/2025, 10:47:46 AM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-14
08-18
12-25
03-01
05-28
06-30
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event