@Willie3124

#1,837,93331

0xcd887283fb57d5c52547013ab4f39fe16ece4272

~94d· 76 markets · 190 tradesVol: $18,2132026-10-08 02:53:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (31/55)13.2/20
0.51x (win $8 / loss $16)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9200/15
Sortino -3.6400/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 527 (55 markets)9.9/10
26/43 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 46700% of peak ($9 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Consistent
26/43 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,244,383$-8Vol: $8,462
⚽ SPORTS#909,687$-1Vol: $7,380
🎭 CULTURE#352,991$-0Vol: $2,112
📈 ECONOMICS#343,122$-0Vol: $183
💰 FINANCE#219,412$0Vol: $67
₿ CRYPTO#840,209$-1Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,213
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
109B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $15
Week
$-0
Vol: $48
Month
$-0
Vol: $164
All Time
$-10
Vol: $18,213

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
30W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
56%
30W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.6197327852004111% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$5
Will Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?$1
Will Shrinking win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$1
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?$0

Top Losers

Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-4
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-4
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-3
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$-2
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-1
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?$-1
Solana above $190 on February 14?$-1
Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$-1
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-0
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.151
Sortino
-0.145
HHI
398
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
37.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)88.1%

Sessions

#12
9/13/2025, 3:35:49 AM1 trades$1380 min
9/21/2025, 5:16:26 PM1 trades$1370 min
9/30/2025, 11:25:11 AM1 trades$1370 min
8/31/2025, 4:30:18 AM1 trades$1350 min
8/12/2025, 4:09:53 PM1 trades$1340 min
10/5/2025, 9:29:07 PM1 trades$1330 min
8/10/2026, 12:16:30 PM2 trades$450 min
3/5/2026, 4:36:15 PM5 trades$433 min
2/13/2026, 9:30:01 AM5 trades$423 min
10/4/2026, 10:31:14 PM4 trades$421 min
5/14/2026, 12:50:43 PM8 trades$392 min
6/3/2026, 1:32:11 PM6 trades$352 min
4/24/2026, 10:33:50 AM6 trades$352 min
4/5/2026, 3:57:47 PM4 trades$331 min
8/26/2026, 9:28:58 PM4 trades$281 min
3/21/2026, 11:22:09 PM3 trades$261 min
11/9/2025, 7:37:35 AM1 trades$250 min
1/5/2026, 8:35:27 PM2 trades$245 min
2/28/2025, 9:51:59 AM1 trades$240 min
5/13/2025, 9:47:14 AM1 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-21
08-12
10-26
11-28
03-21
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 449 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M0.9 / H88.1