Polydata

@Willing-Proposition

#1,421100

0x16b251e0f8b8315a871e7a14596a01da3b53aa5a

211d· 3981 markets · 2421 tradesVol: $6,891,0172026-07-05T07:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 47.50x15/15
Sharpe 0.78015/15
Sortino 1.09410/10
EV $+46.52310/10
HHI 9010/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Willing-Proposition is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1421 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $127,982.32. Over 159 days, they executed 2,421 trades across 259 markets, accumulating a total volume of nearly $6.9 million. Their smart score of 100/100 marks them as an elite trader, and their portfolio shows consistent upward equity trends, though their current portfolio value is zero.

This trader favors a high-frequency, low-risk strategy, evidenced by an impressive 96.6% win rate and a profit factor of 46.47. Willing-Proposition predominantly holds long positions, selling 83% of the time rather than shorting, and avoids weather-related markets entirely. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.78 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns with minimal drawdown duration, suggesting fast and disciplined trade execution. The presence of badges like Sniper and Consistent reinforce a style focused on precision and reliability.

Willing-Proposition’s key strength lies in their disciplined approach and ability to maintain steady profitability with minimal drawdowns. However, the high win rate combined with a moderate Sharpe ratio could imply limited upside per trade, potentially capping growth in more volatile markets. Their likely human trading pattern and high sell percentage may expose them to market timing risks if conditions shift rapidly. Overall, their consistent success on Polymarket highlights strong execution skills balanced with cautious risk management.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+127,982
Win Streak
68 wins in a row
Whale
$483,138
Consistent
102/105 days
High Roller
$3,039/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
SPORTS#602$128,011Vol: $6,881,707

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$127,982
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,891,017
Total Redeem
$354
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3981
total markets
Trades
418B / 2003S
Daily Volume
$3,039
Account Age
211d
since Dec 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$1,512
Vol: $0
Month
$1,603
Vol: $111,703
All Time
$127,982
Vol: $6,891,017

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
216W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$168,318
Win Rate
97%
225W / 8L
Profit Factor
46.47x
Avg Win
$694
Avg Loss
$-420

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,795 (14.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?$7,873
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$7,838
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$7,084
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?$3,135
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-08?$2,984
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?$2,871
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$2,706
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?$2,647
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?$2,529
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$2,275

Top Losers

Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?$-1,113
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-18?$-609
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$-561
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?$-403
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-15?$-290
Will Eyüpspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?$-221
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$-153
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.780
Sortino
1.094
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$46.523
Kelly %
94.6%
Half-Kelly
47.3%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
47.5m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.45 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
175 entries
<=2
238 entries
<=5
255 entries
<=10
256 entries
<=20
258 entries
<=50
259 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)63.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59.5%

Other$132,533
Paris$8,284
Madrid$4,051
Milan$2,976
Wuhan$1,362
Seattle$1,338
Seoul$1,032
Shanghai$416
Miami$220
Jinmen Hu FC win$214
Toronto$206
Los Angeles$206
Hong Kong$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
229

Single bracket

<=1
202 brackets
<=2
226 brackets
<=3
229 brackets
<=4
229 brackets
<=5
229 brackets
<=8
229 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 6:43:55 AM23 trades$6,9975 min
2/7/2026, 7:38:49 AM8 trades$4,5633 min
2/7/2026, 10:04:11 AM5 trades$5,2113 min
2/7/2026, 10:16:11 AM2 trades$9443 min
2/8/2026, 5:59:49 PM5 trades$3,6313 min
2/9/2026, 3:23:35 PM2 trades$1,3130 min
2/9/2026, 7:55:29 PM6 trades$1,1278 min
2/10/2026, 9:05:53 PM6 trades$9432 min
2/10/2026, 9:40:33 PM2 trades$4,2462 min
2/11/2026, 8:31:35 PM2 trades$2,4323 min
2/11/2026, 9:56:41 PM5 trades$7214 min
2/13/2026, 6:33:33 PM18 trades$1,9312 min
2/13/2026, 8:40:05 PM2 trades$1,1451 min
2/13/2026, 8:52:21 PM15 trades$6024 min
2/13/2026, 9:14:49 PM3 trades$1,2870 min
2/14/2026, 3:18:53 PM11 trades$4,8752 min
2/14/2026, 4:28:25 PM8 trades$2,2612 min
2/14/2026, 4:51:05 PM28 trades$7,4037 min
2/14/2026, 8:05:25 PM26 trades$5,1658 min
2/14/2026, 8:32:55 PM5 trades$2,6511 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-18
03-13
04-08
05-04
06-03
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event