Polydata

@Wilted-Echidna

#47924

0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3

135d· 81 markets · 13142 tradesVol: $24,329,9552026-05-20T19:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 1.10x4/15
Sharpe 0.0240/15
Sortino 0.0210/10
EV $+0.0734/10
HHI 9578/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 108%0/10

Summary

Wilted-Echidna is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #479 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $322,359.28. Over 377 days, they have completed 13,142 trades across 81 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $24 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 24/100, their portfolio value is growing steadily, currently at over $1.1 million.

This trader exhibits a high-risk, high-activity style, with a low win rate of 34.4% and a profit factor of 0.38, indicating more losses than gains per trade. Wilted-Echidna appears to engage in frequent, diverse trades without timing for short-term drawdowns, as suggested by a zero-day max drawdown duration. Their low sell percentage (7%) and badges like "Diamond Hands" and "Contrarian" imply a tendency to hold positions long and bet against prevailing trends.

Wilted-Echidna’s strengths lie in their consistent upward equity trend and a large trading volume that shows commitment and resilience. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.02 and a below-average Smart Score highlight potential risks, including weak risk-adjusted returns and a semi-automated strategy that may lack refinement. Traders following Wilted-Echidna should consider these factors when analyzing their performance on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+322,359
Lottery Player
46% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
58% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$11,091,990
High Roller
$29,422/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,658,443$-640,146Vol: $16,791,967
🏛️ POLITICS#39$880,057Vol: $6,646,229
🎭 CULTURE#404$17,943Vol: $450,378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$322,359
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,329,955
Total Redeem
$2,271,779
Portfolio
$1,135,392
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
12253B / 889S
Daily Volume
$29,422
Account Age
135d
since Jan 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-40,784
Vol: $0
Week
$-33,230
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,567,220
Vol: $5,838,509
All Time
$322,359
Vol: $24,329,955

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
24W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$3,637,305
Win Rate
34%
11W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$144,374
Avg Loss
$-197,304

Top Winners

Knicks vs. 76ers$488,976
Rockets vs. Lakers$450,887
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$235,107
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$219,347
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterwe$108,061
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$43,141
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$32,795
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$6,602
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils$1,468
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$1,201

Top Losers

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-2,595,661
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$-376,889
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Car$-319,740
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-255,960
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$-143,090
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-101,472
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$-76,737
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-56,082
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$-41,317
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina$-40,728

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.021
HHI
957
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
52.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
92.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.7m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — typical for humanSize CV 13.56 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness92 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
151.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
8 entries
<=10
11 entries
<=20
18 entries
<=50
30 entries
>50
51 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)32%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 77.3%

Madrid$1,999
Miami$0
Other$-2,557,266

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
55

Single bracket

<=1
50 brackets
<=2
52 brackets
<=3
53 brackets
<=4
53 brackets
<=5
53 brackets
<=8
53 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/18/2025, 7:49:28 AM62 trades$256,2805 min
12/18/2025, 8:08:49 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/18/2025, 8:31:18 AM57 trades$11,60417 min
12/18/2025, 8:53:14 AM2 trades$1010 min
12/18/2025, 9:02:56 AM22 trades$5,8643 min
12/18/2025, 9:11:38 AM8 trades$2913 min
12/18/2025, 9:20:04 AM3 trades$106,5924 min
12/18/2025, 9:31:22 AM2 trades$1672 min
12/18/2025, 9:44:08 AM1 trades$1370 min
12/18/2025, 9:50:40 AM3 trades$1390 min
12/18/2025, 10:06:42 AM1 trades$790 min
12/18/2025, 10:33:42 AM1 trades$2780 min
12/18/2025, 11:04:16 AM1 trades$21,9460 min
12/18/2025, 11:09:42 AM1 trades$40 min
12/18/2025, 11:18:20 AM2 trades$2812 min
12/18/2025, 11:29:54 AM1 trades$5100 min
12/18/2025, 11:35:50 AM1 trades$10 min
12/18/2025, 11:41:30 AM3 trades$133 min
12/18/2025, 1:22:56 PM1 trades$33,7010 min
12/18/2025, 2:01:46 PM2 trades$560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
02-06
02-14
04-03
05-01
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 151.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event