Polydata

@Worthy-Fortress

#1,81362

0x46e6bf99b8b5b292812beb4168e5df3e2975d4cd

168d· 2011 markets · 4563 tradesVol: $5,267,2012026-06-24T23:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.45x8/15
Sharpe 0.2334/15
Sortino 0.3373/10
EV $+0.53010/10
HHI 8010/10
Profit Days 55%6/10
DD/Peak 19%10/10

Summary

Worthy-Fortress is an active trader on Polymarket with a solid track record, currently ranked #1813 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 123 days, they have executed 4,563 trades across 476 markets, generating a net profit of $95,153.33 from a total volume exceeding $5.2 million. Their Smart Score of 62/100 indicates a good level of trading skill, supported by an 85.8% win rate and a profit factor just below 1 at 0.97. Despite a stable equity trend and no portfolio value currently held, Worthy-Fortress maintains a consistent presence on the platform.

Worthy-Fortress appears to favor a broad range of markets, avoiding weather-related trades entirely, and exhibits a semi-automated trading approach with a bot score of 50/100. Their trading style shows disciplined risk management, reflected in a low max drawdown duration of zero days and a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.23. The trader’s sell percentage stands at 30%, suggesting a preference for holding some positions rather than frequent profit-taking. This approach aligns with badges such as DCA Master and High Roller, indicating a combination of dollar-cost averaging and significant position sizes.

The strengths of Worthy-Fortress lie in their high win rate, steady equity trend, and balanced risk profile, which contribute to their sustained profitability on Polymarket. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio point to potential inefficiencies or limited upside relative to risk. The flat portfolio value and zero max drawdown duration could signal a cautious approach or recent position closures, which might affect future profit opportunities. Overall, Worthy-Fortress demonstrates reliable trading skills but may face challenges in scaling returns further.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+95,153
DCA Master
avg 6.7 entries/market
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
Whale
$560,062
High Roller
$4,564/day
Cool Head
DD 19%

Categories

1
SPORTS#701$95,153Vol: $5,267,201

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$95,153
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,267,201
Total Redeem
$179,861
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2011
total markets
Trades
3198B / 1365S
Daily Volume
$4,564
Account Age
168d
since Jan 9, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
207W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$223,093
Win Rate
86%
188W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$228
Avg Loss
$-1,421

Top Winners

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastre$4,391
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?$3,234
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$2,829
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5$2,173
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5$1,802
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5$1,682
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$1,436
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5$1,293
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?$1,217
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?$1,179

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?$-8,769
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic$-6,255
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$-5,245
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?$-4,554
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?$-2,827
Will Petrojet SC vs. Ismaily SC end in a draw?$-2,615
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5$-1,906
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-26?$-1,587
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?$-1,346
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-1,176

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.337
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.530
Kelly %
57.9%
Half-Kelly
28.9%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
11.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.41 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.34 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high522 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.7
Active DCA
<=1
137 entries
<=2
199 entries
<=5
312 entries
<=10
387 entries
<=20
443 entries
<=50
472 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)65.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.7%

Madrid$2,421
Other$1,741
Paris$1,493
Shanghai$10
Shenzhen$0
Milan$0
São Paulo$0
New York City$0
Chicago$-159
Chongqing$-363
Miami$-6,255

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
321

Single bracket

<=1
222 brackets
<=2
279 brackets
<=3
311 brackets
<=4
317 brackets
<=5
321 brackets
<=8
321 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/14/2026, 12:25:16 AM2 trades$130 min
1/16/2026, 2:07:18 AM2 trades$50 min
1/28/2026, 5:09:25 AM1 trades$300 min
1/28/2026, 5:17:09 AM1 trades$300 min
1/28/2026, 5:30:53 AM1 trades$30 min
1/29/2026, 4:46:20 AM2 trades$571 min
1/29/2026, 4:53:10 AM2 trades$670 min
1/30/2026, 8:18:36 PM1 trades$100 min
2/11/2026, 11:26:47 PM1 trades$400 min
2/11/2026, 11:32:47 PM1 trades$400 min
2/11/2026, 11:39:01 PM3 trades$420 min
2/14/2026, 5:51:05 PM2 trades$2500 min
2/14/2026, 8:01:33 PM1 trades$1680 min
2/15/2026, 2:50:29 AM4 trades$2560 min
2/15/2026, 1:08:03 PM1 trades$40 min
2/15/2026, 2:47:07 PM1 trades$1430 min
2/15/2026, 7:23:55 PM3 trades$4840 min
2/15/2026, 7:54:47 PM1 trades$1200 min
2/15/2026, 8:22:11 PM1 trades$4930 min
2/15/2026, 8:40:13 PM1 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
02-23
03-09
03-23
04-08
04-22
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event