XXYBCXX

@XXYBCXX

#2,484,3490

0xb868ea4ca3fd5bca30ad7fb054f465c4690920af

~9d· 14 markets · 86 tradesVol: $35,3702026-08-26 09:15:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (4/14)0/20
0.12x (win $18 / loss $150)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.4820/15
Sortino -9.1900/10
$-1.0139 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9581 (14 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 219633% of peak ($132 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#282,878$-61Vol: $35,144
📢 MENTIONS#134,089$-11Vol: $221
🏛️ POLITICS#519,140$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,370
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
45B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-72
Vol: $35,370

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
4W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-72
Win Rate
29%
4W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (0.2574741547918413% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?$8
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?$7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$-71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$-32
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?$-6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.508
Sortino
-0.442
HHI
1720
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
81%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 564s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.3%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 11:07:00 AM18 trades$22,33811 min
4/25/2026, 10:57:40 AM7 trades$8,8850 min
4/25/2026, 10:06:24 AM2 trades$1,4200 min
4/25/2026, 8:03:04 AM7 trades$3040 min
4/25/2026, 7:53:22 AM9 trades$1474 min
5/16/2026, 11:27:24 AM2 trades$1220 min
4/28/2026, 4:28:16 AM5 trades$150 min
4/25/2026, 11:10:08 PM2 trades$120 min
4/24/2026, 7:30:28 AM2 trades$110 min
4/24/2026, 7:48:14 AM2 trades$100 min
4/24/2026, 5:09:16 AM2 trades$80 min
4/23/2026, 8:32:56 AM2 trades$70 min
5/15/2026, 1:09:50 PM2 trades$70 min
4/23/2026, 8:52:54 AM4 trades$61 min
5/15/2026, 1:58:49 PM6 trades$50 min
5/17/2026, 5:05:16 AM2 trades$40 min
4/27/2026, 12:29:06 AM2 trades$40 min
4/25/2026, 11:23:30 AM2 trades$30 min
4/25/2026, 8:43:36 AM2 trades$20 min
4/26/2026, 3:38:38 AM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-25
04-27
04-28
05-15
05-16
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
71.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.3 / M20 / H26.7